Trader consensus prices AfD at 83% implied probability to win the most seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's September 20 Landtag election, driven by its sustained double-digit lead in recent Sonntagsfragen, including the latest INSA poll showing 34% for AfD versus 26% for incumbent SPD and just 12% for CDU. This reflects AfD's dominance in eastern Germany under proportional representation, where fragmented opposition—Linke at 10%, BSW and Grüne at 5% each—limits challengers' paths to overtake. Recent Schwerin mayoral runoff on April 12 underscored AfD momentum with a near-win for its candidate, amid economic pressures like rising fuel costs eroding support for the SPD-led state government and federal black-red coalition. No major shifts in the past week, but stability favors AfD barring late surprises.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयामेक्लेनबर्ग - वोर्पोमर्न संसदीय चुनाव विजेता
मेक्लेनबर्ग - वोर्पोमर्न संसदीय चुनाव विजेता
AfD 83%
एसपीडी 12%
CDU 2.7%
एफडिपी <1%
$199,612 वॉल्यूम
$199,612 वॉल्यूम
20 सित, 2026
AfD
83%
एसपीडी
12%
CDU
3%
एफडिपी
1%
लिंके
<1%
ग्रीन पार्टी
<1%
बीएसडब्ल्यू
<1%
FW
<1%
AfD 83%
एसपीडी 12%
CDU 2.7%
एफडिपी <1%
$199,612 वॉल्यूम
$199,612 वॉल्यूम
20 सित, 2026
AfD
$5,711 वॉल्यूम
83%
एसपीडी
$34,370 वॉल्यूम
12%
CDU
$26,439 वॉल्यूम
3%
एफडिपी
$45,919 वॉल्यूम
1%
लिंके
$7,218 वॉल्यूम
<1%
ग्रीन पार्टी
$50,890 वॉल्यूम
<1%
बीएसडब्ल्यू
$10,350 वॉल्यूम
<1%
FW
$18,715 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Trader consensus prices AfD at 83% implied probability to win the most seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's September 20 Landtag election, driven by its sustained double-digit lead in recent Sonntagsfragen, including the latest INSA poll showing 34% for AfD versus 26% for incumbent SPD and just 12% for CDU. This reflects AfD's dominance in eastern Germany under proportional representation, where fragmented opposition—Linke at 10%, BSW and Grüne at 5% each—limits challengers' paths to overtake. Recent Schwerin mayoral runoff on April 12 underscored AfD momentum with a near-win for its candidate, amid economic pressures like rising fuel costs eroding support for the SPD-led state government and federal black-red coalition. No major shifts in the past week, but stability favors AfD barring late surprises.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$199,612समाप्ति तिथि
20 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Trader consensus prices AfD at 83% implied probability to win the most seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's September 20 Landtag election, driven by its sustained double-digit lead in recent Sonntagsfragen, including the latest INSA poll showing 34% for AfD versus 26% for incumbent SPD and just 12% for CDU. This reflects AfD's dominance in eastern Germany under proportional representation, where fragmented opposition—Linke at 10%, BSW and Grüne at 5% each—limits challengers' paths to overtake. Recent Schwerin mayoral runoff on April 12 underscored AfD momentum with a near-win for its candidate, amid economic pressures like rising fuel costs eroding support for the SPD-led state government and federal black-red coalition. No major shifts in the past week, but stability favors AfD barring late surprises.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
वॉल्यूम
$199,612समाप्ति तिथि
20 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices AfD at 83% implied probability to win the most seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's September 20 Landtag election, driven by its sustained double-digit lead in recent Sonntagsfragen, including the latest INSA poll showing 34% for AfD versus 26% for incumbent SPD and just 12% for CDU. This reflects AfD's dominance in eastern Germany under proportional representation, where fragmented opposition—Linke at 10%, BSW and Grüne at 5% each—limits challengers' paths to overtake. Recent Schwerin mayoral runoff on April 12 underscored AfD momentum with a near-win for its candidate, amid economic pressures like rising fuel costs eroding support for the SPD-led state government and federal black-red coalition. No major shifts in the past week, but stability favors AfD barring late surprises.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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