Incumbent Rep. Angie Craig's April 2025 decision to vacate her seat for a U.S. Senate bid opened Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District, yet trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 88% implied probability, mirroring Likely Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball as of mid-April 2026. District fundamentals, including Biden's narrow 2020 win and Craig's repeated victories, bolster Democrats, whose primary field—led by well-funded Matt Little ($391,000 cash on hand) and Matt Klein ($328,000)—outpaces Republican Eric Pratt ($143,000). No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics ahead of the August 11 primaries and November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMN-02 House Election Winner
MN-02 House Election Winner
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
88%
Republican Party
14%
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$61 वॉल्यूम
88%
Republican Party
$0 वॉल्यूम
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Angie Craig's April 2025 decision to vacate her seat for a U.S. Senate bid opened Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District, yet trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 88% implied probability, mirroring Likely Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball as of mid-April 2026. District fundamentals, including Biden's narrow 2020 win and Craig's repeated victories, bolster Democrats, whose primary field—led by well-funded Matt Little ($391,000 cash on hand) and Matt Klein ($328,000)—outpaces Republican Eric Pratt ($143,000). No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics ahead of the August 11 primaries and November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$61समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Angie Craig's April 2025 decision to vacate her seat for a U.S. Senate bid opened Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District, yet trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 88% implied probability, mirroring Likely Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball as of mid-April 2026. District fundamentals, including Biden's narrow 2020 win and Craig's repeated victories, bolster Democrats, whose primary field—led by well-funded Matt Little ($391,000 cash on hand) and Matt Klein ($328,000)—outpaces Republican Eric Pratt ($143,000). No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics ahead of the August 11 primaries and November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$61समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Angie Craig's April 2025 decision to vacate her seat for a U.S. Senate bid opened Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District, yet trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 88% implied probability, mirroring Likely Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball as of mid-April 2026. District fundamentals, including Biden's narrow 2020 win and Craig's repeated victories, bolster Democrats, whose primary field—led by well-funded Matt Little ($391,000 cash on hand) and Matt Klein ($328,000)—outpaces Republican Eric Pratt ($143,000). No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics ahead of the August 11 primaries and November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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