Derek Merrin leads trader consensus at 56% implied probability for the OH-09 Republican primary on May 5, driven by his name recognition from a narrow 2024 general election loss to incumbent Rep. Marcy Kaptur and prior service as Ohio House Freedom Caucus chair, positioning him as the strongest general election matchup in the redrawn, more Republican-leaning district. Current state Rep. Josh Williams holds 21% on strong Q4 fundraising claims as the top primary hauler and local endorsements like Fulton County GOP, while Air Force Lt. Col. Alea Nadeem garners 20% via veteran appeal. A recent April 14 candidate forum highlighted pitches to unseat Kaptur, but resurfaced 2017 photo linking Merrin to disgraced ex-Rep. Wes Goodman has not shifted odds; Williams distanced from controversial endorser Rodney Creech days ago. Absent polls, traders weigh incumbency experience against outsider momentum ahead of early voting.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाDerek Merrin 78%
Madison Sheahan 14%
Josh Williams 6.0%
Alea Nadeem 5.2%
Derek Merrin
78%
Madison Sheahan
14%
Josh Williams
9%
Alea Nadeem
5%
Anthony Campbell
2%
Wayne Kinsel
1%
Jacob Frost
1%
Derek Merrin 78%
Madison Sheahan 14%
Josh Williams 6.0%
Alea Nadeem 5.2%
Derek Merrin
78%
Madison Sheahan
14%
Josh Williams
9%
Alea Nadeem
5%
Anthony Campbell
2%
Wayne Kinsel
1%
Jacob Frost
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 21, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Derek Merrin leads trader consensus at 56% implied probability for the OH-09 Republican primary on May 5, driven by his name recognition from a narrow 2024 general election loss to incumbent Rep. Marcy Kaptur and prior service as Ohio House Freedom Caucus chair, positioning him as the strongest general election matchup in the redrawn, more Republican-leaning district. Current state Rep. Josh Williams holds 21% on strong Q4 fundraising claims as the top primary hauler and local endorsements like Fulton County GOP, while Air Force Lt. Col. Alea Nadeem garners 20% via veteran appeal. A recent April 14 candidate forum highlighted pitches to unseat Kaptur, but resurfaced 2017 photo linking Merrin to disgraced ex-Rep. Wes Goodman has not shifted odds; Williams distanced from controversial endorser Rodney Creech days ago. Absent polls, traders weigh incumbency experience against outsider momentum ahead of early voting.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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