With over 90% of votes tallied in Peru's April 12-13 presidential election first round, trader consensus on Polymarket favors Rafael López Aliaga for third place at 61.1% implied probability, reflecting his slip from second amid Roberto Sánchez Palomino's surge to 12% versus López Aliaga's 11.9%, behind leader Keiko Fujimori at 17%. Recent developments driving this positioning include Sánchez's overtake in the past 48 hours during the protracted ONPE count, fueled by stronger rural turnout favoring his Juntos por el Perú platform, while López Aliaga's Renovación Popular base held in urban areas like Lima. Remaining ballots, likely left-leaning, reinforce expectations of a Fujimori-Sánchez runoff on June 7, relegating López Aliaga; other candidates trail far behind with under 4%.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयापेरू राष्ट्रपति चुनाव का पहला दौर: तीसरा स्थान
पेरू राष्ट्रपति चुनाव का पहला दौर: तीसरा स्थान
राफेल लोपेज़ अलीगा 61.1%
रॉबर्टो सांचेज़ पालोमिनो 38.1%
जॉर्ज निएतो <1%
रिकार्डो बेलमोंट <1%
$561,817 वॉल्यूम
$561,817 वॉल्यूम

राफेल लोपेज़ अलीगा
61%

रॉबर्टो सांचेज़ पालोमिनो
38%

जॉर्ज निएतो
<1%

रिकार्डो बेलमोंट
<1%

कैको फुजीमोरी
<1%

जोस लूना
<1%

फिओरेला मोलिनेली
<1%

योन्ही लेस्कानो
<1%

वोल्फगैंग ग्रोज़ो
<1%

फर्नांडो ओलिवेरा
<1%

कार्लोस आल्वारेज़
<1%

अल्फोंसो लोपेज़ चाउ
<1%

जॉर्ज फोर्सिथ
<1%

एनरिक वल्देरामा
<1%

मेसियास गुवारा
<1%

सीज़र अकूना
<1%

रोबर्टो चियाब्रा
<1%

कार्लोस एस्पा
<1%

मैरिसोल पेरेज़ टेलो
<1%

मारियो विस्कारा
<1%

व्लादिमीर सेर्रोन
<1%

जोस विलियम्स
<1%

राफेल बेलाउंदे ल्योसा
<1%
राफेल लोपेज़ अलीगा 61.1%
रॉबर्टो सांचेज़ पालोमिनो 38.1%
जॉर्ज निएतो <1%
रिकार्डो बेलमोंट <1%
$561,817 वॉल्यूम
$561,817 वॉल्यूम

राफेल लोपेज़ अलीगा
61%

रॉबर्टो सांचेज़ पालोमिनो
38%

जॉर्ज निएतो
<1%

रिकार्डो बेलमोंट
<1%

कैको फुजीमोरी
<1%

जोस लूना
<1%

फिओरेला मोलिनेली
<1%

योन्ही लेस्कानो
<1%

वोल्फगैंग ग्रोज़ो
<1%

फर्नांडो ओलिवेरा
<1%

कार्लोस आल्वारेज़
<1%

अल्फोंसो लोपेज़ चाउ
<1%

जॉर्ज फोर्सिथ
<1%

एनरिक वल्देरामा
<1%

मेसियास गुवारा
<1%

सीज़र अकूना
<1%

रोबर्टो चियाब्रा
<1%

कार्लोस एस्पा
<1%

मैरिसोल पेरेज़ टेलो
<1%

मारियो विस्कारा
<1%

व्लादिमीर सेर्रोन
<1%

जोस विलियम्स
<1%

राफेल बेलाउंदे ल्योसा
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With over 90% of votes tallied in Peru's April 12-13 presidential election first round, trader consensus on Polymarket favors Rafael López Aliaga for third place at 61.1% implied probability, reflecting his slip from second amid Roberto Sánchez Palomino's surge to 12% versus López Aliaga's 11.9%, behind leader Keiko Fujimori at 17%. Recent developments driving this positioning include Sánchez's overtake in the past 48 hours during the protracted ONPE count, fueled by stronger rural turnout favoring his Juntos por el Perú platform, while López Aliaga's Renovación Popular base held in urban areas like Lima. Remaining ballots, likely left-leaning, reinforce expectations of a Fujimori-Sánchez runoff on June 7, relegating López Aliaga; other candidates trail far behind with under 4%.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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