Keiko Fujimori's consistent lead in Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round vote, now solidified in official ONPE tallies exceeding 80% of actas processed as of April 15, positions her at around 17%—nearly 5% ahead of surging second-place Roberto Sánchez at 12%—fueling trader consensus at 76% for her margin of victory surpassing 5% over the runner-up. Quick counts from Ipsos (95.7% coverage) and Datum early confirmed her comfortable first amid a fragmented field, with Rafael López Aliaga (11.9%) and Jorge Nieto dropping back, despite initial closeness. Logistical delays extended voting but stabilized her advantage, setting a June 7 runoff while low odds on alternatives reflect opposition vote-splitting and no majority path.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाPeru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
Keiko Fujimori 5%+ 79.7%
Keiko Fujimori <5% 9.2%
Other <1%
Rafael López Aliaga 15%+ <1%
$285,807 वॉल्यूम
$285,807 वॉल्यूम
12 अप्रैल, 2026
Rafael López Aliaga 15%+
<1%
Rafael López Aliaga 10-15%
<1%
Rafael López Aliaga 5-10%
<1%
Rafael López Aliaga <5%
<1%
Alfonso López Chau 5%+
<1%
Alfonso López Chau <5%
<1%
Keiko Fujimori 5%+
80%
Keiko Fujimori <5%
11%
Jorge Nieto
<1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Other
1%
Keiko Fujimori 5%+ 79.7%
Keiko Fujimori <5% 9.2%
Other <1%
Rafael López Aliaga 15%+ <1%
$285,807 वॉल्यूम
$285,807 वॉल्यूम
12 अप्रैल, 2026
Rafael López Aliaga 15%+
$8,316 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Rafael López Aliaga 10-15%
$10,003 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Rafael López Aliaga 5-10%
$6,688 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Rafael López Aliaga <5%
$11,208 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Alfonso López Chau 5%+
$6,891 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Alfonso López Chau <5%
$6,028 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Keiko Fujimori 5%+
$78,719 वॉल्यूम
80%
Keiko Fujimori <5%
$105,433 वॉल्यूम
11%
Jorge Nieto
$6,316 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
$10,599 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
$4,401 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
$5,790 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Other
$25,424 वॉल्यूम
1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Keiko Fujimori's consistent lead in Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round vote, now solidified in official ONPE tallies exceeding 80% of actas processed as of April 15, positions her at around 17%—nearly 5% ahead of surging second-place Roberto Sánchez at 12%—fueling trader consensus at 76% for her margin of victory surpassing 5% over the runner-up. Quick counts from Ipsos (95.7% coverage) and Datum early confirmed her comfortable first amid a fragmented field, with Rafael López Aliaga (11.9%) and Jorge Nieto dropping back, despite initial closeness. Logistical delays extended voting but stabilized her advantage, setting a June 7 runoff while low odds on alternatives reflect opposition vote-splitting and no majority path.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 23, 2026, 2:02 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$285,807समाप्ति तिथि
12 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 23, 2026, 2:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Keiko Fujimori's consistent lead in Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round vote, now solidified in official ONPE tallies exceeding 80% of actas processed as of April 15, positions her at around 17%—nearly 5% ahead of surging second-place Roberto Sánchez at 12%—fueling trader consensus at 76% for her margin of victory surpassing 5% over the runner-up. Quick counts from Ipsos (95.7% coverage) and Datum early confirmed her comfortable first amid a fragmented field, with Rafael López Aliaga (11.9%) and Jorge Nieto dropping back, despite initial closeness. Logistical delays extended voting but stabilized her advantage, setting a June 7 runoff while low odds on alternatives reflect opposition vote-splitting and no majority path.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
वॉल्यूम
$285,807समाप्ति तिथि
12 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 23, 2026, 2:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Keiko Fujimori's consistent lead in Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round vote, now solidified in official ONPE tallies exceeding 80% of actas processed as of April 15, positions her at around 17%—nearly 5% ahead of surging second-place Roberto Sánchez at 12%—fueling trader consensus at 76% for her margin of victory surpassing 5% over the runner-up. Quick counts from Ipsos (95.7% coverage) and Datum early confirmed her comfortable first amid a fragmented field, with Rafael López Aliaga (11.9%) and Jorge Nieto dropping back, despite initial closeness. Logistical delays extended voting but stabilized her advantage, setting a June 7 runoff while low odds on alternatives reflect opposition vote-splitting and no majority path.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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