Recent violations of a brief 32-hour Orthodox Easter ceasefire, declared by President Putin on April 11 and reciprocated by Kyiv, underscore deep mutual distrust, bolstering trader consensus for "No" at 70.5% on a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by end-2026. U.S.-mediated talks in February ended without progress on core issues like territory, security guarantees, and NATO aspirations, as Moscow demands recognition of annexed regions while Kyiv insists on full withdrawal. Intensified Russian drone and missile barrages on Ukrainian energy infrastructure and cities, alongside Ukrainian strikes on Russian oil exports, reflect sustained escalation over de-escalation signals. Absent active negotiations or major concessions, traders price in prolonged stalemate through year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$14,068,338 वॉल्यूम
$14,068,338 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
4% कमाएँ
हाँ
$14,068,338 वॉल्यूम
$14,068,338 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
4% कमाएँ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Recent violations of a brief 32-hour Orthodox Easter ceasefire, declared by President Putin on April 11 and reciprocated by Kyiv, underscore deep mutual distrust, bolstering trader consensus for "No" at 70.5% on a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by end-2026. U.S.-mediated talks in February ended without progress on core issues like territory, security guarantees, and NATO aspirations, as Moscow demands recognition of annexed regions while Kyiv insists on full withdrawal. Intensified Russian drone and missile barrages on Ukrainian energy infrastructure and cities, alongside Ukrainian strikes on Russian oil exports, reflect sustained escalation over de-escalation signals. Absent active negotiations or major concessions, traders price in prolonged stalemate through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$14,068,338समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Recent violations of a brief 32-hour Orthodox Easter ceasefire, declared by President Putin on April 11 and reciprocated by Kyiv, underscore deep mutual distrust, bolstering trader consensus for "No" at 70.5% on a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by end-2026. U.S.-mediated talks in February ended without progress on core issues like territory, security guarantees, and NATO aspirations, as Moscow demands recognition of annexed regions while Kyiv insists on full withdrawal. Intensified Russian drone and missile barrages on Ukrainian energy infrastructure and cities, alongside Ukrainian strikes on Russian oil exports, reflect sustained escalation over de-escalation signals. Absent active negotiations or major concessions, traders price in prolonged stalemate through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
वॉल्यूम
$14,068,338समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Recent violations of a brief 32-hour Orthodox Easter ceasefire, declared by President Putin on April 11 and reciprocated by Kyiv, underscore deep mutual distrust, bolstering trader consensus for "No" at 70.5% on a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by end-2026. U.S.-mediated talks in February ended without progress on core issues like territory, security guarantees, and NATO aspirations, as Moscow demands recognition of annexed regions while Kyiv insists on full withdrawal. Intensified Russian drone and missile barrages on Ukrainian energy infrastructure and cities, alongside Ukrainian strikes on Russian oil exports, reflect sustained escalation over de-escalation signals. Absent active negotiations or major concessions, traders price in prolonged stalemate through year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न