Reps. Eric Swalwell (D-CA) and Tony Gonzales (R-TX) resigned this week amid House Ethics Committee probes into sexual misconduct allegations and other violations, averting potential floor expulsion votes and fulfilling half the market condition. Trader consensus tilts slightly toward "No" at 54.5% as the remaining pair—Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-FL), indicted for allegedly funneling FEMA disaster funds to her campaign, and Rep. Cory Mills (R-FL), facing his own ethics investigation—resist calls to resign, including from Speaker Johnson demanding Cherfilus-McCormick's expulsion. The balance stems from expulsion's high bar (two-thirds House vote) versus bipartisan pressure; odds could shift with adverse Ethics reports, privileged resolutions for votes, or voluntary exits before May 31, or hold steady if proceedings drag into summer.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$18,331 वॉल्यूम
$18,331 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
हाँ
$18,331 वॉल्यूम
$18,331 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Reps. Eric Swalwell (D-CA) and Tony Gonzales (R-TX) resigned this week amid House Ethics Committee probes into sexual misconduct allegations and other violations, averting potential floor expulsion votes and fulfilling half the market condition. Trader consensus tilts slightly toward "No" at 54.5% as the remaining pair—Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-FL), indicted for allegedly funneling FEMA disaster funds to her campaign, and Rep. Cory Mills (R-FL), facing his own ethics investigation—resist calls to resign, including from Speaker Johnson demanding Cherfilus-McCormick's expulsion. The balance stems from expulsion's high bar (two-thirds House vote) versus bipartisan pressure; odds could shift with adverse Ethics reports, privileged resolutions for votes, or voluntary exits before May 31, or hold steady if proceedings drag into summer.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$18,331समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Reps. Eric Swalwell (D-CA) and Tony Gonzales (R-TX) resigned this week amid House Ethics Committee probes into sexual misconduct allegations and other violations, averting potential floor expulsion votes and fulfilling half the market condition. Trader consensus tilts slightly toward "No" at 54.5% as the remaining pair—Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-FL), indicted for allegedly funneling FEMA disaster funds to her campaign, and Rep. Cory Mills (R-FL), facing his own ethics investigation—resist calls to resign, including from Speaker Johnson demanding Cherfilus-McCormick's expulsion. The balance stems from expulsion's high bar (two-thirds House vote) versus bipartisan pressure; odds could shift with adverse Ethics reports, privileged resolutions for votes, or voluntary exits before May 31, or hold steady if proceedings drag into summer.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$18,331समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Reps. Eric Swalwell (D-CA) and Tony Gonzales (R-TX) resigned this week amid House Ethics Committee probes into sexual misconduct allegations and other violations, averting potential floor expulsion votes and fulfilling half the market condition. Trader consensus tilts slightly toward "No" at 54.5% as the remaining pair—Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-FL), indicted for allegedly funneling FEMA disaster funds to her campaign, and Rep. Cory Mills (R-FL), facing his own ethics investigation—resist calls to resign, including from Speaker Johnson demanding Cherfilus-McCormick's expulsion. The balance stems from expulsion's high bar (two-thirds House vote) versus bipartisan pressure; odds could shift with adverse Ethics reports, privileged resolutions for votes, or voluntary exits before May 31, or hold steady if proceedings drag into summer.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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