Trader consensus heavily favors the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) at 88.5% implied probability to secure the most seats in the Riksdag on September 13, 2026, driven by consistent opinion polls showing S leading at 32-33%—far ahead of the Moderate Party (M) at 17-18% and Sweden Democrats (SD) at around 20%. The latest Kantar-Sifo poll (April 11) underscores this, with S stable at 32.7%, SD dipping to 20%, and M at 16.8%, amid right-wing Tidö bloc (M+KD+L+SD) polling below 45% and losing parliamentary majority projections under proportional representation. Recent Liberal Party-SD cooperation pacts in March failed to reverse the Red-Greens' edge, with no major shifts in the past week; upcoming debates could influence late momentum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयास्वीडन संसदीय चुनाव विजेता
स्वीडन संसदीय चुनाव विजेता
स्वीडिश सोशल डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी (एस) 89%
मध्यपंथी पार्टी (एम) 5.5%
स्वीडन डेमोक्रेट्स (एसडी) 5.0%
ग्रीन पार्टी (एमपी) <1%
$1,083,574 वॉल्यूम
$1,083,574 वॉल्यूम

स्वीडिश सोशल डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी (एस)
89%

मध्यपंथी पार्टी (एम)
6%

स्वीडन डेमोक्रेट्स (एसडी)
5%

ग्रीन पार्टी (एमपी)
1%

सेंटर पार्टी (सी)
<1%

वामपंथी पार्टी (वी)
<1%

नागरिक गठबंधन (MED)
<1%

ईसाई डेमोक्रेट (केडी)
<1%

लिबरल्स (एल)
<1%
स्वीडिश सोशल डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी (एस) 89%
मध्यपंथी पार्टी (एम) 5.5%
स्वीडन डेमोक्रेट्स (एसडी) 5.0%
ग्रीन पार्टी (एमपी) <1%
$1,083,574 वॉल्यूम
$1,083,574 वॉल्यूम

स्वीडिश सोशल डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी (एस)
89%

मध्यपंथी पार्टी (एम)
6%

स्वीडन डेमोक्रेट्स (एसडी)
5%

ग्रीन पार्टी (एमपी)
1%

सेंटर पार्टी (सी)
<1%

वामपंथी पार्टी (वी)
<1%

नागरिक गठबंधन (MED)
<1%

ईसाई डेमोक्रेट (केडी)
<1%

लिबरल्स (एल)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) at 88.5% implied probability to secure the most seats in the Riksdag on September 13, 2026, driven by consistent opinion polls showing S leading at 32-33%—far ahead of the Moderate Party (M) at 17-18% and Sweden Democrats (SD) at around 20%. The latest Kantar-Sifo poll (April 11) underscores this, with S stable at 32.7%, SD dipping to 20%, and M at 16.8%, amid right-wing Tidö bloc (M+KD+L+SD) polling below 45% and losing parliamentary majority projections under proportional representation. Recent Liberal Party-SD cooperation pacts in March failed to reverse the Red-Greens' edge, with no major shifts in the past week; upcoming debates could influence late momentum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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