Recent polling averages show Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton holding a narrow 5-6 point edge over incumbent Sen. John Cornyn among likely Republican runoff voters, driving trader consensus toward Paxton's 9%+ margin at 28.1% implied probability amid low-turnout dynamics that favor the challenger's enthusiastic base support. However, fresh independent surveys like Coefficient's April 15 poll (Cornyn 44%, Paxton 43%) and Fox News reporting underscore the razor-thin race, with Cornyn's first-quarter fundraising dominance—$8 million-plus cash-on-hand versus Paxton's $2.6 million—positioning him for a potential upset under 3%. President Trump's unissued endorsement, despite early teases, sustains uncertainty, while any late debates or shifts in GOP establishment backing ahead of the May 26 runoff could sharpen the margin.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयापैक्सटन 9%+ 28.0%
कॉर्निन 9%+ 14%
पैक्सटन 6–9% 14%
कॉर्निन <3% 12.5%
$53,713 वॉल्यूम
$53,713 वॉल्यूम
25 मई, 2026
पैक्सटन 9%+
28%
पैक्सटन 6–9%
14%
पैक्सटन 3–6%
11%
पैक्सटन <3%
11%
कॉर्निन <3%
20%
कॉर्निन 3–6%
6%
कोर्निन 6–9%
3%
कॉर्निन 9%+
14%
पैक्सटन 9%+ 28.0%
कॉर्निन 9%+ 14%
पैक्सटन 6–9% 14%
कॉर्निन <3% 12.5%
$53,713 वॉल्यूम
$53,713 वॉल्यूम
25 मई, 2026
पैक्सटन 9%+
$10,560 वॉल्यूम
28%
पैक्सटन 6–9%
$5,977 वॉल्यूम
14%
पैक्सटन 3–6%
$4,774 वॉल्यूम
11%
पैक्सटन <3%
$6,427 वॉल्यूम
11%
कॉर्निन <3%
$4,694 वॉल्यूम
20%
कॉर्निन 3–6%
$4,729 वॉल्यूम
6%
कोर्निन 6–9%
$5,211 वॉल्यूम
3%
कॉर्निन 9%+
$11,341 वॉल्यूम
14%
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent polling averages show Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton holding a narrow 5-6 point edge over incumbent Sen. John Cornyn among likely Republican runoff voters, driving trader consensus toward Paxton's 9%+ margin at 28.1% implied probability amid low-turnout dynamics that favor the challenger's enthusiastic base support. However, fresh independent surveys like Coefficient's April 15 poll (Cornyn 44%, Paxton 43%) and Fox News reporting underscore the razor-thin race, with Cornyn's first-quarter fundraising dominance—$8 million-plus cash-on-hand versus Paxton's $2.6 million—positioning him for a potential upset under 3%. President Trump's unissued endorsement, despite early teases, sustains uncertainty, while any late debates or shifts in GOP establishment backing ahead of the May 26 runoff could sharpen the margin.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$53,713समाप्ति तिथि
25 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent polling averages show Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton holding a narrow 5-6 point edge over incumbent Sen. John Cornyn among likely Republican runoff voters, driving trader consensus toward Paxton's 9%+ margin at 28.1% implied probability amid low-turnout dynamics that favor the challenger's enthusiastic base support. However, fresh independent surveys like Coefficient's April 15 poll (Cornyn 44%, Paxton 43%) and Fox News reporting underscore the razor-thin race, with Cornyn's first-quarter fundraising dominance—$8 million-plus cash-on-hand versus Paxton's $2.6 million—positioning him for a potential upset under 3%. President Trump's unissued endorsement, despite early teases, sustains uncertainty, while any late debates or shifts in GOP establishment backing ahead of the May 26 runoff could sharpen the margin.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
वॉल्यूम
$53,713समाप्ति तिथि
25 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages show Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton holding a narrow 5-6 point edge over incumbent Sen. John Cornyn among likely Republican runoff voters, driving trader consensus toward Paxton's 9%+ margin at 28.1% implied probability amid low-turnout dynamics that favor the challenger's enthusiastic base support. However, fresh independent surveys like Coefficient's April 15 poll (Cornyn 44%, Paxton 43%) and Fox News reporting underscore the razor-thin race, with Cornyn's first-quarter fundraising dominance—$8 million-plus cash-on-hand versus Paxton's $2.6 million—positioning him for a potential upset under 3%. President Trump's unissued endorsement, despite early teases, sustains uncertainty, while any late debates or shifts in GOP establishment backing ahead of the May 26 runoff could sharpen the margin.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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