Amid the 2026 US-Iran war sparked by US and Israeli strikes in late February, a fragile two-week ceasefire took hold on April 8 following Pakistan-mediated talks, but direct negotiations in Islamabad collapsed on April 12 without a permanent peace agreement. Iran's 10-point proposal—demanding full sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz control, and uranium enrichment rights—clashed with US insistence on strict nuclear curbs and war reparations, prompting American port blockades and heightened tensions. President Trump signals an imminent resolution, yet Tehran rejected terms, leaving trader consensus wary of breakthroughs. The ceasefire nears expiration around April 21, with potential for extension talks or escalation via military action or proxy conflicts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअमेरिका x ईरान स्थायी शांति समझौता... तक?
अमेरिका x ईरान स्थायी शांति समझौता... तक?
$7,426,337 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
22 अप्रैल
21%
30 अप्रैल
38%
31 मई
57%
30 जून
69%
$7,426,337 वॉल्यूम
22 अप्रैल
$4,940,619 वॉल्यूम
21%
30 अप्रैल
$1,353,396 वॉल्यूम
38%
31 मई
$924,306 वॉल्यूम
57%
30 जून
$208,168 वॉल्यूम
69%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran and the United states agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Amid the 2026 US-Iran war sparked by US and Israeli strikes in late February, a fragile two-week ceasefire took hold on April 8 following Pakistan-mediated talks, but direct negotiations in Islamabad collapsed on April 12 without a permanent peace agreement. Iran's 10-point proposal—demanding full sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz control, and uranium enrichment rights—clashed with US insistence on strict nuclear curbs and war reparations, prompting American port blockades and heightened tensions. President Trump signals an imminent resolution, yet Tehran rejected terms, leaving trader consensus wary of breakthroughs. The ceasefire nears expiration around April 21, with potential for extension talks or escalation via military action or proxy conflicts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran and the United states agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 8, 2026, 12:11 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$7,426,337समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 8, 2026, 12:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran and the United states agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Amid the 2026 US-Iran war sparked by US and Israeli strikes in late February, a fragile two-week ceasefire took hold on April 8 following Pakistan-mediated talks, but direct negotiations in Islamabad collapsed on April 12 without a permanent peace agreement. Iran's 10-point proposal—demanding full sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz control, and uranium enrichment rights—clashed with US insistence on strict nuclear curbs and war reparations, prompting American port blockades and heightened tensions. President Trump signals an imminent resolution, yet Tehran rejected terms, leaving trader consensus wary of breakthroughs. The ceasefire nears expiration around April 21, with potential for extension talks or escalation via military action or proxy conflicts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran and the United states agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$7,426,337समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 8, 2026, 12:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid the 2026 US-Iran war sparked by US and Israeli strikes in late February, a fragile two-week ceasefire took hold on April 8 following Pakistan-mediated talks, but direct negotiations in Islamabad collapsed on April 12 without a permanent peace agreement. Iran's 10-point proposal—demanding full sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz control, and uranium enrichment rights—clashed with US insistence on strict nuclear curbs and war reparations, prompting American port blockades and heightened tensions. President Trump signals an imminent resolution, yet Tehran rejected terms, leaving trader consensus wary of breakthroughs. The ceasefire nears expiration around April 21, with potential for extension talks or escalation via military action or proxy conflicts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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