Recent collapse of the first direct US-Iran peace talks in Islamabad on April 11-12, after 21 hours of negotiations mediated by Pakistan, has heightened tensions despite a fragile two-week ceasefire agreed on April 8. The US responded by imposing a naval blockade on the Strait of Hormuz to pressure Iran over unresolved issues including a proposed 20-year nuclear enrichment suspension, missile limits, and proxy activities in the region. Diplomats are now arranging a potential second round within days, as President Trump signals openness to resumption while Vice President Vance warns of economic measures. Traders monitor these high-stakes diplomacy efforts against escalation risks from Iran's nuclear program advances and regional conflicts, with no permanent peace agreement in sight ahead of the market's resolution date.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअमेरिका x ईरान स्थायी शांति समझौता... तक?
अमेरिका x ईरान स्थायी शांति समझौता... तक?
$7,419,640 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
22 अप्रैल
21%
30 अप्रैल
38%
31 मई
57%
30 जून
69%
$7,419,640 वॉल्यूम
22 अप्रैल
$4,939,927 वॉल्यूम
21%
30 अप्रैल
$1,352,961 वॉल्यूम
38%
31 मई
$920,693 वॉल्यूम
57%
30 जून
$207,772 वॉल्यूम
69%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran and the United states agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent collapse of the first direct US-Iran peace talks in Islamabad on April 11-12, after 21 hours of negotiations mediated by Pakistan, has heightened tensions despite a fragile two-week ceasefire agreed on April 8. The US responded by imposing a naval blockade on the Strait of Hormuz to pressure Iran over unresolved issues including a proposed 20-year nuclear enrichment suspension, missile limits, and proxy activities in the region. Diplomats are now arranging a potential second round within days, as President Trump signals openness to resumption while Vice President Vance warns of economic measures. Traders monitor these high-stakes diplomacy efforts against escalation risks from Iran's nuclear program advances and regional conflicts, with no permanent peace agreement in sight ahead of the market's resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran and the United states agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 8, 2026, 12:11 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$7,419,640समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 8, 2026, 12:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran and the United states agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent collapse of the first direct US-Iran peace talks in Islamabad on April 11-12, after 21 hours of negotiations mediated by Pakistan, has heightened tensions despite a fragile two-week ceasefire agreed on April 8. The US responded by imposing a naval blockade on the Strait of Hormuz to pressure Iran over unresolved issues including a proposed 20-year nuclear enrichment suspension, missile limits, and proxy activities in the region. Diplomats are now arranging a potential second round within days, as President Trump signals openness to resumption while Vice President Vance warns of economic measures. Traders monitor these high-stakes diplomacy efforts against escalation risks from Iran's nuclear program advances and regional conflicts, with no permanent peace agreement in sight ahead of the market's resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran and the United states agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$7,419,640समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 8, 2026, 12:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent collapse of the first direct US-Iran peace talks in Islamabad on April 11-12, after 21 hours of negotiations mediated by Pakistan, has heightened tensions despite a fragile two-week ceasefire agreed on April 8. The US responded by imposing a naval blockade on the Strait of Hormuz to pressure Iran over unresolved issues including a proposed 20-year nuclear enrichment suspension, missile limits, and proxy activities in the region. Diplomats are now arranging a potential second round within days, as President Trump signals openness to resumption while Vice President Vance warns of economic measures. Traders monitor these high-stakes diplomacy efforts against escalation risks from Iran's nuclear program advances and regional conflicts, with no permanent peace agreement in sight ahead of the market's resolution date.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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