Recent reports of President Trump considering firing Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer amid multiple staff exits, an internal investigation, and personal scandal allegations have propelled her to the top of trader consensus at 29% implied probability for the next cabinet departure, following Attorney General Pam Bondi's ouster on April 2. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick trails at 18%, driven by White House frustrations and lingering calls for his resignation over prior Epstein file associations. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth sits at 11% amid his recent purge of the Army's top general, signaling internal tensions. The wide-open field reflects active discussions of further shake-ups ahead of midterms, with confirmation hurdles for replacements a key risk; a public statement or leaked memo could consolidate odds behind one outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाLori Chavez-DeRemer 30%
Howard Lutnick 15%
Pete Hegseth 11%
Tulsi Gabbard 7%
$25,461 वॉल्यूम
$25,461 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
30%
Howard Lutnick
19%
Pete Hegseth
11%
Tulsi Gabbard
7%
Scott Turner
5%
Lee Zeldin
5%
Russell T. Vought
4%
Scott Bessent
7%
Brooke Rollins
3%
Sean Duffy
3%
Susie Wiles
3%
None before 2027
2%
Linda McMahon
2%
Kelly Loeffler
2%
Marco Rubio
2%
Doug Burgum
1%
Mike Waltz
1%
Jamieson Greer
1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1%
John Ratcliffe
1%
J.D. Vance
1%
Chris Wright
1%
Doug Collins
1%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer 30%
Howard Lutnick 15%
Pete Hegseth 11%
Tulsi Gabbard 7%
$25,461 वॉल्यूम
$25,461 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
$2,694 वॉल्यूम
30%
Howard Lutnick
$938 वॉल्यूम
19%
Pete Hegseth
$1,590 वॉल्यूम
11%
Tulsi Gabbard
$1,330 वॉल्यूम
7%
Scott Turner
$1,283 वॉल्यूम
5%
Lee Zeldin
$2,098 वॉल्यूम
5%
Russell T. Vought
$672 वॉल्यूम
4%
Scott Bessent
$809 वॉल्यूम
7%
Brooke Rollins
$1,438 वॉल्यूम
3%
Sean Duffy
$852 वॉल्यूम
3%
Susie Wiles
$908 वॉल्यूम
3%
None before 2027
$756 वॉल्यूम
2%
Linda McMahon
$684 वॉल्यूम
2%
Kelly Loeffler
$1,038 वॉल्यूम
2%
Marco Rubio
$974 वॉल्यूम
2%
Doug Burgum
$762 वॉल्यूम
1%
Mike Waltz
$1,016 वॉल्यूम
1%
Jamieson Greer
$1,180 वॉल्यूम
1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$1,181 वॉल्यूम
1%
John Ratcliffe
$875 वॉल्यूम
1%
J.D. Vance
$823 वॉल्यूम
1%
Chris Wright
$779 वॉल्यूम
1%
Doug Collins
$780 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Recent reports of President Trump considering firing Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer amid multiple staff exits, an internal investigation, and personal scandal allegations have propelled her to the top of trader consensus at 29% implied probability for the next cabinet departure, following Attorney General Pam Bondi's ouster on April 2. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick trails at 18%, driven by White House frustrations and lingering calls for his resignation over prior Epstein file associations. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth sits at 11% amid his recent purge of the Army's top general, signaling internal tensions. The wide-open field reflects active discussions of further shake-ups ahead of midterms, with confirmation hurdles for replacements a key risk; a public statement or leaked memo could consolidate odds behind one outcome.
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 2, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$25,461समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 2, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Recent reports of President Trump considering firing Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer amid multiple staff exits, an internal investigation, and personal scandal allegations have propelled her to the top of trader consensus at 29% implied probability for the next cabinet departure, following Attorney General Pam Bondi's ouster on April 2. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick trails at 18%, driven by White House frustrations and lingering calls for his resignation over prior Epstein file associations. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth sits at 11% amid his recent purge of the Army's top general, signaling internal tensions. The wide-open field reflects active discussions of further shake-ups ahead of midterms, with confirmation hurdles for replacements a key risk; a public statement or leaked memo could consolidate odds behind one outcome.
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$25,461समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 2, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent reports of President Trump considering firing Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer amid multiple staff exits, an internal investigation, and personal scandal allegations have propelled her to the top of trader consensus at 29% implied probability for the next cabinet departure, following Attorney General Pam Bondi's ouster on April 2. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick trails at 18%, driven by White House frustrations and lingering calls for his resignation over prior Epstein file associations. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth sits at 11% amid his recent purge of the Army's top general, signaling internal tensions. The wide-open field reflects active discussions of further shake-ups ahead of midterms, with confirmation hurdles for replacements a key risk; a public statement or leaked memo could consolidate odds behind one outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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