Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer leads trader consensus at 47.5% implied probability of being the next Trump cabinet departure, driven by an escalating Labor Department inspector general investigation into allegations of workplace misconduct, including a reported affair with a security aide who resigned, on-the-job drinking, retaliation against whistleblowers, and inappropriate staff directives like procuring wine for her hotel room—revealed in leaked texts as recently as April 15. Multiple top aides have quit or been fired since early March amid these probes, fueling reports of White House frustration and potential ouster alongside Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick (14.5%), whom Trump has eyed for removal over performance issues following recent exits of Attorney General Pam Bondi and DHS Secretary Kristi Noem. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth (13%) faces secondary speculation amid Pentagon personnel shakeups, though no direct resignation signals have emerged in the past week; midterms loom, complicating Senate confirmations for replacements.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयालॉरी चैवेज़-डीरेमर 40%
हावर्ड लुटनिक 14%
पीट हेगसेथ 13%
तुलसी गैबार्ड 7%
$26,744 वॉल्यूम
$26,744 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
लॉरी चैवेज़-डीरेमर
50%
हावर्ड लुटनिक
14%
पीट हेगसेथ
13%
तुलसी गैबार्ड
7%
रसेल टी. वॉट
5%
ब्रुक रोलिन्स
4%
स्कॉट बेसेन्ट
8%
ली ज़ेल्डिन
3%
स्कॉट टर्नर
3%
सुजी वाइल्स
3%
सीन डफी
2%
लिंडा मैकमहोन
2%
मार्को रुबियो
2%
केली लोफलर
2%
जैमिसन ग्रीयर
1%
डग बर्गम
1%
माइक वाल्ट्ज
1%
2027 से पहले कोई नहीं
1%
रॉबर्ट एफ. कैनेडी जूनियर
1%
जॉन रैटक्लिफ
1%
जेडी वेंस
1%
क्रिस राइट
<1%
डग कोलिन्स
<1%
लॉरी चैवेज़-डीरेमर 40%
हावर्ड लुटनिक 14%
पीट हेगसेथ 13%
तुलसी गैबार्ड 7%
$26,744 वॉल्यूम
$26,744 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
लॉरी चैवेज़-डीरेमर
$2,972 वॉल्यूम
50%
हावर्ड लुटनिक
$968 वॉल्यूम
14%
पीट हेगसेथ
$1,635 वॉल्यूम
13%
तुलसी गैबार्ड
$1,362 वॉल्यूम
7%
रसेल टी. वॉट
$702 वॉल्यूम
5%
ब्रुक रोलिन्स
$1,468 वॉल्यूम
4%
स्कॉट बेसेन्ट
$839 वॉल्यूम
8%
ली ज़ेल्डिन
$2,128 वॉल्यूम
3%
स्कॉट टर्नर
$1,430 वॉल्यूम
3%
सुजी वाइल्स
$938 वॉल्यूम
3%
सीन डफी
$882 वॉल्यूम
2%
लिंडा मैकमहोन
$714 वॉल्यूम
2%
मार्को रुबियो
$1,004 वॉल्यूम
2%
केली लोफलर
$1,068 वॉल्यूम
2%
जैमिसन ग्रीयर
$1,215 वॉल्यूम
1%
डग बर्गम
$792 वॉल्यूम
1%
माइक वाल्ट्ज
$1,046 वॉल्यूम
1%
2027 से पहले कोई नहीं
$886 वॉल्यूम
1%
रॉबर्ट एफ. कैनेडी जूनियर
$1,317 वॉल्यूम
1%
जॉन रैटक्लिफ
$905 वॉल्यूम
1%
जेडी वेंस
$853 वॉल्यूम
1%
क्रिस राइट
$809 वॉल्यूम
<1%
डग कोलिन्स
$810 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer leads trader consensus at 47.5% implied probability of being the next Trump cabinet departure, driven by an escalating Labor Department inspector general investigation into allegations of workplace misconduct, including a reported affair with a security aide who resigned, on-the-job drinking, retaliation against whistleblowers, and inappropriate staff directives like procuring wine for her hotel room—revealed in leaked texts as recently as April 15. Multiple top aides have quit or been fired since early March amid these probes, fueling reports of White House frustration and potential ouster alongside Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick (14.5%), whom Trump has eyed for removal over performance issues following recent exits of Attorney General Pam Bondi and DHS Secretary Kristi Noem. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth (13%) faces secondary speculation amid Pentagon personnel shakeups, though no direct resignation signals have emerged in the past week; midterms loom, complicating Senate confirmations for replacements.
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 2, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$26,744समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 2, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer leads trader consensus at 47.5% implied probability of being the next Trump cabinet departure, driven by an escalating Labor Department inspector general investigation into allegations of workplace misconduct, including a reported affair with a security aide who resigned, on-the-job drinking, retaliation against whistleblowers, and inappropriate staff directives like procuring wine for her hotel room—revealed in leaked texts as recently as April 15. Multiple top aides have quit or been fired since early March amid these probes, fueling reports of White House frustration and potential ouster alongside Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick (14.5%), whom Trump has eyed for removal over performance issues following recent exits of Attorney General Pam Bondi and DHS Secretary Kristi Noem. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth (13%) faces secondary speculation amid Pentagon personnel shakeups, though no direct resignation signals have emerged in the past week; midterms loom, complicating Senate confirmations for replacements.
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$26,744समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 2, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer leads trader consensus at 47.5% implied probability of being the next Trump cabinet departure, driven by an escalating Labor Department inspector general investigation into allegations of workplace misconduct, including a reported affair with a security aide who resigned, on-the-job drinking, retaliation against whistleblowers, and inappropriate staff directives like procuring wine for her hotel room—revealed in leaked texts as recently as April 15. Multiple top aides have quit or been fired since early March amid these probes, fueling reports of White House frustration and potential ouster alongside Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick (14.5%), whom Trump has eyed for removal over performance issues following recent exits of Attorney General Pam Bondi and DHS Secretary Kristi Noem. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth (13%) faces secondary speculation amid Pentagon personnel shakeups, though no direct resignation signals have emerged in the past week; midterms loom, complicating Senate confirmations for replacements.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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