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क्या कोलंबिया के चुनाव के पहले दौर में कोई राष्ट्रपति पद का उम्मीदवार एकमुश्त जीत पाएगा?

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क्या कोलंबिया के चुनाव के पहले दौर में कोई राष्ट्रपति पद का उम्मीदवार एकमुश्त जीत पाएगा?

हाँ

7% संभावना
Polymarket

$36,071 वॉल्यूम

हाँ

7% संभावना
Polymarket

$36,071 वॉल्यूम

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polls, including AtlasIntel's April 6-9 survey ahead of Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential vote, show progressive candidate Iván Cepeda leading at 41%, with right-wing Abelardo de la Espriella at 29% and center-right Paloma Valencia at 25%, well below the absolute majority required for an outright win. This fragmented field, consistent across March-April polling averages where no contender exceeds 48%, reflects voter polarization exposed by the March 8 legislative elections that produced a divided Congress. Traders' 93.5% consensus on "No" outright victory aligns with historical patterns—runoffs have occurred in every election since 1991—barring late surges before the June 28 second round.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
वॉल्यूम
$36,071
समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ET
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polls, including AtlasIntel's April 6-9 survey ahead of Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential vote, show progressive candidate Iván Cepeda leading at 41%, with right-wing Abelardo de la Espriella at 29% and center-right Paloma Valencia at 25%, well below the absolute majority required for an outright win. This fragmented field, consistent across March-April polling averages where no contender exceeds 48%, reflects voter polarization exposed by the March 8 legislative elections that produced a divided Congress. Traders' 93.5% consensus on "No" outright victory aligns with historical patterns—runoffs have occurred in every election since 1991—barring late surges before the June 28 second round.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
वॉल्यूम
$36,071
समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ET
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"क्या कोलंबिया के चुनाव के पहले दौर में कोई राष्ट्रपति पद का उम्मीदवार एकमुश्त जीत पाएगा?" Polymarket पर 2 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, क्या कोई राष्ट्रपति पद का उम्मीदवार कोलंबिया के चुनाव के पहले दौर में सीधे जीत जाएगा? 7% (7¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है।

आज तक, "क्या कोलंबिया के चुनाव के पहले दौर में कोई राष्ट्रपति पद का उम्मीदवार एकमुश्त जीत पाएगा?" ने कुल $36.1K ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Jul 29, 2025 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"क्या कोलंबिया के चुनाव के पहले दौर में कोई राष्ट्रपति पद का उम्मीदवार एकमुश्त जीत पाएगा?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 2 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

यह एक खुला बाज़ार है। "क्या कोलंबिया के चुनाव के पहले दौर में कोई राष्ट्रपति पद का उम्मीदवार एकमुश्त जीत पाएगा?" के लिए वर्तमान अग्रणी "क्या कोई राष्ट्रपति पद का उम्मीदवार कोलंबिया के चुनाव के पहले दौर में सीधे जीत जाएगा?" केवल 7% पर है। किसी भी परिणाम के पास मज़बूत बहुमत नहीं होने से, ट्रेडर इसे अत्यधिक अनिश्चित मानते हैं।

"क्या कोलंबिया के चुनाव के पहले दौर में कोई राष्ट्रपति पद का उम्मीदवार एकमुश्त जीत पाएगा?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।