Recent polls, including AtlasIntel's April 6-9 survey ahead of Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential vote, show progressive candidate Iván Cepeda leading at 41%, with right-wing Abelardo de la Espriella at 29% and center-right Paloma Valencia at 25%, well below the absolute majority required for an outright win. This fragmented field, consistent across March-April polling averages where no contender exceeds 48%, reflects voter polarization exposed by the March 8 legislative elections that produced a divided Congress. Traders' 93.5% consensus on "No" outright victory aligns with historical patterns—runoffs have occurred in every election since 1991—barring late surges before the June 28 second round.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या कोलंबिया के चुनाव के पहले दौर में कोई राष्ट्रपति पद का उम्मीदवार एकमुश्त जीत पाएगा?
क्या कोलंबिया के चुनाव के पहले दौर में कोई राष्ट्रपति पद का उम्मीदवार एकमुश्त जीत पाएगा?
हाँ
$36,071 वॉल्यूम
$36,071 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
$36,071 वॉल्यूम
$36,071 वॉल्यूम
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...Recent polls, including AtlasIntel's April 6-9 survey ahead of Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential vote, show progressive candidate Iván Cepeda leading at 41%, with right-wing Abelardo de la Espriella at 29% and center-right Paloma Valencia at 25%, well below the absolute majority required for an outright win. This fragmented field, consistent across March-April polling averages where no contender exceeds 48%, reflects voter polarization exposed by the March 8 legislative elections that produced a divided Congress. Traders' 93.5% consensus on "No" outright victory aligns with historical patterns—runoffs have occurred in every election since 1991—barring late surges before the June 28 second round.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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