No credible criminal charges or indictments against Bill Gates have been announced or reported by federal or state authorities as of mid-June 2026. The market's 99.4% implied probability on "No" reflects the absence of any active investigations, sealed indictments, or official statements indicating imminent action before the June 30 deadline. Gates' voluntary June 10 testimony before the House Oversight Committee on his past ties to Jeffrey Epstein drew attention but produced no accusations of wrongdoing or new legal exposure. Historical patterns show criminal charges against high-profile figures typically follow extended probes with public signals, none of which are present here. A sudden indictment remains theoretically possible but would require unprecedented timing and secrecy in the final two weeks.