No credible criminal investigations, indictments, or prosecutorial actions against Bill Gates exist that could produce formal charges by June 30. Recent congressional scrutiny centers on his past Epstein associations through voluntary House Oversight Committee testimony, yet it involves no accusations of wrongdoing by Gates himself and stems from document releases rather than active enforcement proceedings. Traders assign 99.2% probability to “No” because high-profile charging decisions require documented evidence, grand jury processes, and institutional timelines incompatible with the remaining window. Late developments such as newly surfaced evidence triggering an expedited indictment remain theoretically possible but lack any supporting public indicators.