Incumbent Democrat Jared Huffman advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with 56.5% of the vote in California’s 2nd congressional district, facing Republican Robin Littau in the November general election. The district’s D+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin the 93.5% trader consensus for a Democratic win. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Huffman’s established incumbency, substantial fundraising edge, and the absence of competitive Republican opposition or polling shifts. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican turnout could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical results and structural factors make such reversals improbable within the current resolution window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiCA-02 House Election Winner
CA-02 House Election Winner
BARU
BARU
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
BARU
BARU
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$4,189 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$3,552 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jared Huffman advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with 56.5% of the vote in California’s 2nd congressional district, facing Republican Robin Littau in the November general election. The district’s D+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin the 93.5% trader consensus for a Democratic win. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Huffman’s established incumbency, substantial fundraising edge, and the absence of competitive Republican opposition or polling shifts. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican turnout could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical results and structural factors make such reversals improbable within the current resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$7,741Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jared Huffman advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with 56.5% of the vote in California’s 2nd congressional district, facing Republican Robin Littau in the November general election. The district’s D+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin the 93.5% trader consensus for a Democratic win. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Huffman’s established incumbency, substantial fundraising edge, and the absence of competitive Republican opposition or polling shifts. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican turnout could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical results and structural factors make such reversals improbable within the current resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$7,741Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jared Huffman advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with 56.5% of the vote in California’s 2nd congressional district, facing Republican Robin Littau in the November general election. The district’s D+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin the 93.5% trader consensus for a Democratic win. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Huffman’s established incumbency, substantial fundraising edge, and the absence of competitive Republican opposition or polling shifts. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican turnout could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical results and structural factors make such reversals improbable within the current resolution window.
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