Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted California's 3rd congressional district boundaries, incorporating more Democratic-leaning areas around Sacramento while removing prior Republican strongholds such as parts of Placer County. This produced a voter registration and performance profile favoring Democrats by roughly 10 points in recent presidential voting. Incumbent Democrat Ami Bera, previously representing the neighboring 6th district, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Robb Tucker and now faces him in the November general election. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters have rated the seat Safe or Solid Democratic. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural and primary results, though an unforeseen late development such as a candidate withdrawal or major scandal could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiCA-03 House Election Winner
CA-03 House Election Winner
$43,504 Vol.
$43,504 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
3%
$43,504 Vol.
$43,504 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$25,885 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$17,619 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted California's 3rd congressional district boundaries, incorporating more Democratic-leaning areas around Sacramento while removing prior Republican strongholds such as parts of Placer County. This produced a voter registration and performance profile favoring Democrats by roughly 10 points in recent presidential voting. Incumbent Democrat Ami Bera, previously representing the neighboring 6th district, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Robb Tucker and now faces him in the November general election. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters have rated the seat Safe or Solid Democratic. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural and primary results, though an unforeseen late development such as a candidate withdrawal or major scandal could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$43,504Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted California's 3rd congressional district boundaries, incorporating more Democratic-leaning areas around Sacramento while removing prior Republican strongholds such as parts of Placer County. This produced a voter registration and performance profile favoring Democrats by roughly 10 points in recent presidential voting. Incumbent Democrat Ami Bera, previously representing the neighboring 6th district, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Robb Tucker and now faces him in the November general election. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters have rated the seat Safe or Solid Democratic. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural and primary results, though an unforeseen late development such as a candidate withdrawal or major scandal could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$43,504Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted California's 3rd congressional district boundaries, incorporating more Democratic-leaning areas around Sacramento while removing prior Republican strongholds such as parts of Placer County. This produced a voter registration and performance profile favoring Democrats by roughly 10 points in recent presidential voting. Incumbent Democrat Ami Bera, previously representing the neighboring 6th district, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Robb Tucker and now faces him in the November general election. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters have rated the seat Safe or Solid Democratic. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural and primary results, though an unforeseen late development such as a candidate withdrawal or major scandal could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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