Current forecast models from agencies and services such as WeatherBug, Yr.no, and The Weather Outlook show a mild early-spring day in Cape Town on September 2, with daytime highs centered near 19–20 °C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and southerly winds. This aligns with the Mediterranean climate’s typical September maximum of about 20 °C, moderated by the cold Benguela Current and seasonal high pressure. Ensemble consensus across short-range guidance supports limited warming potential, keeping the distribution of possible maxima tightly clustered and explaining why trader-implied probabilities concentrate on 19–21 °C. Minor model spread and the inherent uncertainty of 48-hour forecasts leave room for small revisions before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Cape Town on September 2?
20°C 36%
19°C 23%
21°C 20%
18°C 16%
15°C or below
4%
16°C
4%
17°C
8%
18°C
16%
19°C
23%
20°C
36%
21°C
20%
22°C
8%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 36%
19°C 23%
21°C 20%
18°C 16%
15°C or below
4%
16°C
4%
17°C
8%
18°C
16%
19°C
23%
20°C
36%
21°C
20%
22°C
8%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies and services such as WeatherBug, Yr.no, and The Weather Outlook show a mild early-spring day in Cape Town on September 2, with daytime highs centered near 19–20 °C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and southerly winds. This aligns with the Mediterranean climate’s typical September maximum of about 20 °C, moderated by the cold Benguela Current and seasonal high pressure. Ensemble consensus across short-range guidance supports limited warming potential, keeping the distribution of possible maxima tightly clustered and explaining why trader-implied probabilities concentrate on 19–21 °C. Minor model spread and the inherent uncertainty of 48-hour forecasts leave room for small revisions before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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