National Weather Service forecasts call for sunny and hot conditions across North Texas on August 16, with a projected high near 104°F under southwesterly flow. This consensus, aligned with private model runs, positions the 102–103°F bin as the leading outcome at 59.5% implied probability, as traders weigh the likelihood of the official observation falling within that narrow range versus slight under- or over-performance. Typical late-August Dallas highs average 93–96°F, yet persistent high pressure and low humidity have supported recent readings in the upper 90s to low 100s, increasing the chance of exceeding 100°F. Updated model guidance and any last-minute observational adjustments from the Fort Worth/Dallas NWS office remain the key variables that could shift probabilities before the daily maximum is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Dallas on August 16?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 16?
102-103°F 60%
100-101°F 22%
104-105°F 13%
106-107°F 2%
BARU
BARU
Aug 16, 2026
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
22%
102-103°F
60%
104-105°F
13%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
102-103°F 60%
100-101°F 22%
104-105°F 13%
106-107°F 2%
BARU
BARU
Aug 16, 2026
95°F or below
$203 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$159 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$89 Vol.
1%
100-101°F
$2,220 Vol.
22%
102-103°F
$1,226 Vol.
60%
104-105°F
$1,430 Vol.
13%
106-107°F
$1,215 Vol.
2%
108-109°F
$157 Vol.
<1%
110-111°F
$127 Vol.
<1%
112-113°F
$262 Vol.
<1%
114°F or higher
$266 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts call for sunny and hot conditions across North Texas on August 16, with a projected high near 104°F under southwesterly flow. This consensus, aligned with private model runs, positions the 102–103°F bin as the leading outcome at 59.5% implied probability, as traders weigh the likelihood of the official observation falling within that narrow range versus slight under- or over-performance. Typical late-August Dallas highs average 93–96°F, yet persistent high pressure and low humidity have supported recent readings in the upper 90s to low 100s, increasing the chance of exceeding 100°F. Updated model guidance and any last-minute observational adjustments from the Fort Worth/Dallas NWS office remain the key variables that could shift probabilities before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volume
$7,355Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts call for sunny and hot conditions across North Texas on August 16, with a projected high near 104°F under southwesterly flow. This consensus, aligned with private model runs, positions the 102–103°F bin as the leading outcome at 59.5% implied probability, as traders weigh the likelihood of the official observation falling within that narrow range versus slight under- or over-performance. Typical late-August Dallas highs average 93–96°F, yet persistent high pressure and low humidity have supported recent readings in the upper 90s to low 100s, increasing the chance of exceeding 100°F. Updated model guidance and any last-minute observational adjustments from the Fort Worth/Dallas NWS office remain the key variables that could shift probabilities before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,355Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts call for sunny and hot conditions across North Texas on August 16, with a projected high near 104°F under southwesterly flow. This consensus, aligned with private model runs, positions the 102–103°F bin as the leading outcome at 59.5% implied probability, as traders weigh the likelihood of the official observation falling within that narrow range versus slight under- or over-performance. Typical late-August Dallas highs average 93–96°F, yet persistent high pressure and low humidity have supported recent readings in the upper 90s to low 100s, increasing the chance of exceeding 100°F. Updated model guidance and any last-minute observational adjustments from the Fort Worth/Dallas NWS office remain the key variables that could shift probabilities before the daily maximum is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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