Current forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and other models show Helsinki temperatures holding steady near 17°C through the afternoon of September 9, 2026, under overcast skies, light southwesterly winds, and periods of rain that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the seasonal norm of roughly 16–17°C highs and produces the strong market consensus at 18°C. The 99.5% implied probability reflects trader confidence in official observations meeting that exact threshold rather than exceeding it, given the stable synoptic pattern. A rapid clearing of clouds or a sharper model shift could allow brief warming to 19°C, but such changes remain low-probability given the entrenched moisture and lack of recent forecast revisions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Helsinki on September 9?
18°C 99.5%
19°C <1%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
$26,503 Vol.
$26,503 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
18°C 99.5%
19°C <1%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
$26,503 Vol.
$26,503 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and other models show Helsinki temperatures holding steady near 17°C through the afternoon of September 9, 2026, under overcast skies, light southwesterly winds, and periods of rain that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the seasonal norm of roughly 16–17°C highs and produces the strong market consensus at 18°C. The 99.5% implied probability reflects trader confidence in official observations meeting that exact threshold rather than exceeding it, given the stable synoptic pattern. A rapid clearing of clouds or a sharper model shift could allow brief warming to 19°C, but such changes remain low-probability given the entrenched moisture and lack of recent forecast revisions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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