**Trader consensus has converged on 30°C as the official highest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on June 13, 2026, reflecting the Hong Kong Observatory’s standard daily maximum at its headquarters.** June climatology places typical daytime highs near 30°C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon and subtropical high-pressure systems, with seasonal outlooks from the Observatory projecting above-normal temperatures for the month. Observational data around mid-June showed no significant synoptic disruptions such as strong cold fronts, tropical cyclone activity, or anomalous cloud cover that would deviate from this baseline. Minor forecast adjustments from models like those referenced in regional guidance consistently aligned with this range, reinforcing the market-implied outcome. Realistic challenges to this resolution remain limited to potential revisions in official station data, differences in measurement timing, or localized urban heat-island effects not captured in the primary record.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 13?
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$279,747 Vol.
$279,747 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$279,747 Vol.
$279,747 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
**Trader consensus has converged on 30°C as the official highest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on June 13, 2026, reflecting the Hong Kong Observatory’s standard daily maximum at its headquarters.** June climatology places typical daytime highs near 30°C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon and subtropical high-pressure systems, with seasonal outlooks from the Observatory projecting above-normal temperatures for the month. Observational data around mid-June showed no significant synoptic disruptions such as strong cold fronts, tropical cyclone activity, or anomalous cloud cover that would deviate from this baseline. Minor forecast adjustments from models like those referenced in regional guidance consistently aligned with this range, reinforcing the market-implied outcome. Realistic challenges to this resolution remain limited to potential revisions in official station data, differences in measurement timing, or localized urban heat-island effects not captured in the primary record.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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