Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a 28–33°C range for September 26, driven by moderating northeast monsoon flow, an overhead anticyclone promoting subsidence, and weak winds that favor strong daytime solar heating under mostly sunny conditions. A distant tropical cyclone enhances this setup through broad descending air, suppressing clouds and rainfall while allowing surface temperatures to climb toward the upper end of the forecast. The close market split between 32°C and 33°C reflects uncertainty in exact peak values, which hinge on minor variations in cloud cover, humidity recovery, and local wind patterns. Historical September maxima in Hong Kong often cluster near these levels during similar high-pressure regimes, with new model runs and the next HKO update likely to refine the outlook before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 26?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 26?
32°C 35%
33°C 34%
31°C 22%
30°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Sep 26, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
10%
31°C
22%
32°C
35%
33°C
34%
34°C
5%
35°C
10%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 35%
33°C 34%
31°C 22%
30°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Sep 26, 2026
26°C or below
$6 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C
$0 Vol.
4%
30°C
$0 Vol.
10%
31°C
$10 Vol.
22%
32°C
$52 Vol.
35%
33°C
$87 Vol.
34%
34°C
$105 Vol.
5%
35°C
$26 Vol.
10%
36°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a 28–33°C range for September 26, driven by moderating northeast monsoon flow, an overhead anticyclone promoting subsidence, and weak winds that favor strong daytime solar heating under mostly sunny conditions. A distant tropical cyclone enhances this setup through broad descending air, suppressing clouds and rainfall while allowing surface temperatures to climb toward the upper end of the forecast. The close market split between 32°C and 33°C reflects uncertainty in exact peak values, which hinge on minor variations in cloud cover, humidity recovery, and local wind patterns. Historical September maxima in Hong Kong often cluster near these levels during similar high-pressure regimes, with new model runs and the next HKO update likely to refine the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$286Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a 28–33°C range for September 26, driven by moderating northeast monsoon flow, an overhead anticyclone promoting subsidence, and weak winds that favor strong daytime solar heating under mostly sunny conditions. A distant tropical cyclone enhances this setup through broad descending air, suppressing clouds and rainfall while allowing surface temperatures to climb toward the upper end of the forecast. The close market split between 32°C and 33°C reflects uncertainty in exact peak values, which hinge on minor variations in cloud cover, humidity recovery, and local wind patterns. Historical September maxima in Hong Kong often cluster near these levels during similar high-pressure regimes, with new model runs and the next HKO update likely to refine the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$286Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a 28–33°C range for September 26, driven by moderating northeast monsoon flow, an overhead anticyclone promoting subsidence, and weak winds that favor strong daytime solar heating under mostly sunny conditions. A distant tropical cyclone enhances this setup through broad descending air, suppressing clouds and rainfall while allowing surface temperatures to climb toward the upper end of the forecast. The close market split between 32°C and 33°C reflects uncertainty in exact peak values, which hinge on minor variations in cloud cover, humidity recovery, and local wind patterns. Historical September maxima in Hong Kong often cluster near these levels during similar high-pressure regimes, with new model runs and the next HKO update likely to refine the outlook before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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