Traders assign the highest probability (53.5%) to a Miami high of 98-99°F on August 18 due to persistent high pressure, clear to hazy skies from Saharan dust, and minimal cloud cover or convection expected to maximize solar heating. Official National Weather Service guidance points to sunny and hot conditions with a forecast high near 95°F, yet recent actual readings in the mid-90s combined with elevated heat indices and low rain chances support upward revisions in model consensus. This setup aligns with late-summer climatology where Miami highs can exceed monthly averages of 89°F under similar subsidence patterns. Key upcoming data include the next NWS forecast discussion and official observations from Miami International Airport that will determine market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Miami on August 18?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 18?
98-99°F 54%
96-97°F 22%
100-101°F 18%
94-95°F 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 18, 2026
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
22%
98-99°F
54%
100-101°F
18%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 54%
96-97°F 22%
100-101°F 18%
94-95°F 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 18, 2026
91°F or below
$45 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$30 Vol.
3%
94-95°F
$153 Vol.
6%
96-97°F
$242 Vol.
22%
98-99°F
$315 Vol.
54%
100-101°F
$431 Vol.
18%
102-103°F
$170 Vol.
6%
104-105°F
$5 Vol.
2%
106-107°F
$40 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$40 Vol.
<1%
110°F or higher
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest probability (53.5%) to a Miami high of 98-99°F on August 18 due to persistent high pressure, clear to hazy skies from Saharan dust, and minimal cloud cover or convection expected to maximize solar heating. Official National Weather Service guidance points to sunny and hot conditions with a forecast high near 95°F, yet recent actual readings in the mid-90s combined with elevated heat indices and low rain chances support upward revisions in model consensus. This setup aligns with late-summer climatology where Miami highs can exceed monthly averages of 89°F under similar subsidence patterns. Key upcoming data include the next NWS forecast discussion and official observations from Miami International Airport that will determine market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volume
$1,511Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest probability (53.5%) to a Miami high of 98-99°F on August 18 due to persistent high pressure, clear to hazy skies from Saharan dust, and minimal cloud cover or convection expected to maximize solar heating. Official National Weather Service guidance points to sunny and hot conditions with a forecast high near 95°F, yet recent actual readings in the mid-90s combined with elevated heat indices and low rain chances support upward revisions in model consensus. This setup aligns with late-summer climatology where Miami highs can exceed monthly averages of 89°F under similar subsidence patterns. Key upcoming data include the next NWS forecast discussion and official observations from Miami International Airport that will determine market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,511Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest probability (53.5%) to a Miami high of 98-99°F on August 18 due to persistent high pressure, clear to hazy skies from Saharan dust, and minimal cloud cover or convection expected to maximize solar heating. Official National Weather Service guidance points to sunny and hot conditions with a forecast high near 95°F, yet recent actual readings in the mid-90s combined with elevated heat indices and low rain chances support upward revisions in model consensus. This setup aligns with late-summer climatology where Miami highs can exceed monthly averages of 89°F under similar subsidence patterns. Key upcoming data include the next NWS forecast discussion and official observations from Miami International Airport that will determine market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan