Recent European forecast models, including ECMWF runs, indicate a high near the late-September climatological average of 18.2°C for Munich on September 25, driven by a transient ridge of high pressure and light northeasterly flow under mostly clear skies. This supports the clustering of market-implied odds around 17–19°C outcomes, while the 50% probability assigned to 22°C or higher reflects lingering uncertainty in longer-range ensemble spreads and potential for modest warm advection. Cooler Atlantic air masses have recently suppressed temperatures across central Europe, consistent with the observed 16–19°C range in the latest 10-day guidance and minimal precipitation risk. Updated model cycles and official DWD briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the primary near-term signals for traders.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Munich on September 25?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 25?
18°C 46%
19°C 40%
22°C or higher 38%
21°C 36%
BARU
BARU
Sep 25, 2026
12°C or below
2%
13°C
4%
14°C
4%
15°C
17%
16°C
29%
17°C
20%
18°C
46%
19°C
40%
20°C
17%
21°C
36%
22°C or higher
38%
18°C 46%
19°C 40%
22°C or higher 38%
21°C 36%
BARU
BARU
Sep 25, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
13°C
$0 Vol.
4%
14°C
$0 Vol.
4%
15°C
$0 Vol.
17%
16°C
$0 Vol.
29%
17°C
$0 Vol.
20%
18°C
$0 Vol.
46%
19°C
$0 Vol.
40%
20°C
$0 Vol.
17%
21°C
$0 Vol.
36%
22°C or higher
$0 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European forecast models, including ECMWF runs, indicate a high near the late-September climatological average of 18.2°C for Munich on September 25, driven by a transient ridge of high pressure and light northeasterly flow under mostly clear skies. This supports the clustering of market-implied odds around 17–19°C outcomes, while the 50% probability assigned to 22°C or higher reflects lingering uncertainty in longer-range ensemble spreads and potential for modest warm advection. Cooler Atlantic air masses have recently suppressed temperatures across central Europe, consistent with the observed 16–19°C range in the latest 10-day guidance and minimal precipitation risk. Updated model cycles and official DWD briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the primary near-term signals for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European forecast models, including ECMWF runs, indicate a high near the late-September climatological average of 18.2°C for Munich on September 25, driven by a transient ridge of high pressure and light northeasterly flow under mostly clear skies. This supports the clustering of market-implied odds around 17–19°C outcomes, while the 50% probability assigned to 22°C or higher reflects lingering uncertainty in longer-range ensemble spreads and potential for modest warm advection. Cooler Atlantic air masses have recently suppressed temperatures across central Europe, consistent with the observed 16–19°C range in the latest 10-day guidance and minimal precipitation risk. Updated model cycles and official DWD briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the primary near-term signals for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European forecast models, including ECMWF runs, indicate a high near the late-September climatological average of 18.2°C for Munich on September 25, driven by a transient ridge of high pressure and light northeasterly flow under mostly clear skies. This supports the clustering of market-implied odds around 17–19°C outcomes, while the 50% probability assigned to 22°C or higher reflects lingering uncertainty in longer-range ensemble spreads and potential for modest warm advection. Cooler Atlantic air masses have recently suppressed temperatures across central Europe, consistent with the observed 16–19°C range in the latest 10-day guidance and minimal precipitation risk. Updated model cycles and official DWD briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the primary near-term signals for traders.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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