Recent high-resolution model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles points to a Paris maximum near 24°C on September 26 under persistent high pressure, with northwesterly flow limiting afternoon heating after warmer conditions on the 25th. This aligns with trader-implied odds favoring 23–25°C outcomes, as subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and wind timing create the narrow spread among leading probabilities. Seasonal averages for late September sit near 20°C, yet the current anticyclonic regime has produced readings several degrees above normal. Further model runs and observational updates through tomorrow will refine the peak temperature ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Paris on September 26?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 26?
24°C 34%
25°C 27%
23°C 21%
22°C 18%
BARU
BARU
Sep 26, 2026
20°C or below
3%
21°C
4%
22°C
18%
23°C
21%
24°C
34%
25°C
27%
26°C
17%
27°C
9%
28°C
13%
29°C
4%
30°C or higher
1%
24°C 34%
25°C 27%
23°C 21%
22°C 18%
BARU
BARU
Sep 26, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
21°C
$0 Vol.
4%
22°C
$0 Vol.
18%
23°C
$0 Vol.
21%
24°C
$43 Vol.
34%
25°C
$147 Vol.
27%
26°C
$62 Vol.
17%
27°C
$38 Vol.
9%
28°C
$0 Vol.
13%
29°C
$0 Vol.
4%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-resolution model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles points to a Paris maximum near 24°C on September 26 under persistent high pressure, with northwesterly flow limiting afternoon heating after warmer conditions on the 25th. This aligns with trader-implied odds favoring 23–25°C outcomes, as subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and wind timing create the narrow spread among leading probabilities. Seasonal averages for late September sit near 20°C, yet the current anticyclonic regime has produced readings several degrees above normal. Further model runs and observational updates through tomorrow will refine the peak temperature ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$291Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-resolution model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles points to a Paris maximum near 24°C on September 26 under persistent high pressure, with northwesterly flow limiting afternoon heating after warmer conditions on the 25th. This aligns with trader-implied odds favoring 23–25°C outcomes, as subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and wind timing create the narrow spread among leading probabilities. Seasonal averages for late September sit near 20°C, yet the current anticyclonic regime has produced readings several degrees above normal. Further model runs and observational updates through tomorrow will refine the peak temperature ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$291Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47de9d...Recent high-resolution model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles points to a Paris maximum near 24°C on September 26 under persistent high pressure, with northwesterly flow limiting afternoon heating after warmer conditions on the 25th. This aligns with trader-implied odds favoring 23–25°C outcomes, as subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and wind timing create the narrow spread among leading probabilities. Seasonal averages for late September sit near 20°C, yet the current anticyclonic regime has produced readings several degrees above normal. Further model runs and observational updates through tomorrow will refine the peak temperature ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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