Forecast models from the National Weather Service show San Francisco’s July 19 high likely settling in the mid-to-upper 60s as a persistent marine layer moderates onshore flow and limits daytime heating. The closely matched market probabilities around 64–69 °F reflect small differences among ensemble runs in marine-layer depth, low-cloud clearance timing, and local sea-breeze strength. Cooler sea-surface temperatures along the central coast reinforce the onshore gradient, while any weakening of the subtropical high could allow slightly warmer air to reach the city. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable range near the climatological July average, with only modest upside risk if the layer erodes earlier than expected.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in San Francisco on July 19?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 19?
64-65°F 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$51,443 Vol.
$51,443 Vol.
Jul 19, 2026
57°F or below
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
Yes
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76°F or higher
No
64-65°F 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$51,443 Vol.
$51,443 Vol.
Jul 19, 2026
57°F or below
$1,517 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$925 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$1,196 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$3,156 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$9,472 Vol.
Yes
66-67°F
$10,740 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$8,192 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$3,430 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$2,385 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$3,285 Vol.
No
76°F or higher
$7,146 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service show San Francisco’s July 19 high likely settling in the mid-to-upper 60s as a persistent marine layer moderates onshore flow and limits daytime heating. The closely matched market probabilities around 64–69 °F reflect small differences among ensemble runs in marine-layer depth, low-cloud clearance timing, and local sea-breeze strength. Cooler sea-surface temperatures along the central coast reinforce the onshore gradient, while any weakening of the subtropical high could allow slightly warmer air to reach the city. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable range near the climatological July average, with only modest upside risk if the layer erodes earlier than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 17, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$51,443Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 17, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service show San Francisco’s July 19 high likely settling in the mid-to-upper 60s as a persistent marine layer moderates onshore flow and limits daytime heating. The closely matched market probabilities around 64–69 °F reflect small differences among ensemble runs in marine-layer depth, low-cloud clearance timing, and local sea-breeze strength. Cooler sea-surface temperatures along the central coast reinforce the onshore gradient, while any weakening of the subtropical high could allow slightly warmer air to reach the city. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable range near the climatological July average, with only modest upside risk if the layer erodes earlier than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$51,443Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 17, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Forecast models from the National Weather Service show San Francisco’s July 19 high likely settling in the mid-to-upper 60s as a persistent marine layer moderates onshore flow and limits daytime heating. The closely matched market probabilities around 64–69 °F reflect small differences among ensemble runs in marine-layer depth, low-cloud clearance timing, and local sea-breeze strength. Cooler sea-surface temperatures along the central coast reinforce the onshore gradient, while any weakening of the subtropical high could allow slightly warmer air to reach the city. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable range near the climatological July average, with only modest upside risk if the layer erodes earlier than expected.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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