Current forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and regional providers indicate a daytime high of 31°C for Tel Aviv on September 6, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light westerly winds, and limited cloud cover typical of early September Mediterranean patterns. This aligns with the market's 57% implied probability for 31°C, while the 18.5% on 32°C reflects minor upside potential from localized heating or model revisions. Nearby days have reached 32°C amid similar setups, but no heatwave or anomalous warming is projected. Updated Israeli Meteorological Service guidance and final model runs in the next 48 hours will clarify any adjustments before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 6?
31°C 58%
32°C 37%
30°C 13%
33°C 12%
28°C or below
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
13%
31°C
58%
32°C
37%
33°C
12%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
2%
31°C 58%
32°C 37%
30°C 13%
33°C 12%
28°C or below
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
13%
31°C
58%
32°C
37%
33°C
12%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and regional providers indicate a daytime high of 31°C for Tel Aviv on September 6, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light westerly winds, and limited cloud cover typical of early September Mediterranean patterns. This aligns with the market's 57% implied probability for 31°C, while the 18.5% on 32°C reflects minor upside potential from localized heating or model revisions. Nearby days have reached 32°C amid similar setups, but no heatwave or anomalous warming is projected. Updated Israeli Meteorological Service guidance and final model runs in the next 48 hours will clarify any adjustments before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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