Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 19°C for Beijing on August 30 under clearing skies and light northwest winds following recent showers. This aligns with the historical late-August average low of about 19.6°C and typical radiative cooling overnight in stable high-pressure conditions. Key variables differentiating outcomes include the precise timing of cloud dissipation, which modulates nocturnal heat loss, versus any lingering humidity or urban heat island effects that could elevate readings above 20°C. Model consensus remains tight around 18–20°C, though small shifts in steering flow or local observations could narrow probabilities among the clustered 17–23°C bins while keeping sub-13°C scenarios improbable.