Recent rainfall across Beijing through August 28, followed by clearing skies and light winds on the 29th, supports efficient nighttime radiative cooling that favors a minimum near 19°C according to consensus from global and regional models. Official forecasts from sources aligned with the China Meteorological Administration project daytime highs of 29–31°C under mostly clear conditions, with overnight lows settling in the 18–20°C range amid typical late-summer humidity and minimal cloud cover. Trader positioning, with 19°C leading at 47.5% implied probability ahead of closely matched 18°C and 20°C options, reflects remaining uncertainty in exact boundary-layer cooling rates before final observational data resolves the market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Beijing on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on August 29?
18°C 49%
19°C 49%
24°C or higher 43%
16°C 23%
BARU
BARU
Aug 29, 2026
14°C or below
14%
15°C
10%
16°C
23%
17°C
23%
18°C
49%
19°C
49%
20°C
23%
21°C
20%
22°C
2%
23°C
8%
24°C or higher
43%
18°C 49%
19°C 49%
24°C or higher 43%
16°C 23%
BARU
BARU
Aug 29, 2026
14°C or below
$5 Vol.
14%
15°C
$0 Vol.
10%
16°C
$0 Vol.
23%
17°C
$0 Vol.
23%
18°C
$0 Vol.
49%
19°C
$0 Vol.
49%
20°C
$0 Vol.
23%
21°C
$75 Vol.
20%
22°C
$5 Vol.
2%
23°C
$5 Vol.
8%
24°C or higher
$5 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent rainfall across Beijing through August 28, followed by clearing skies and light winds on the 29th, supports efficient nighttime radiative cooling that favors a minimum near 19°C according to consensus from global and regional models. Official forecasts from sources aligned with the China Meteorological Administration project daytime highs of 29–31°C under mostly clear conditions, with overnight lows settling in the 18–20°C range amid typical late-summer humidity and minimal cloud cover. Trader positioning, with 19°C leading at 47.5% implied probability ahead of closely matched 18°C and 20°C options, reflects remaining uncertainty in exact boundary-layer cooling rates before final observational data resolves the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$95Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent rainfall across Beijing through August 28, followed by clearing skies and light winds on the 29th, supports efficient nighttime radiative cooling that favors a minimum near 19°C according to consensus from global and regional models. Official forecasts from sources aligned with the China Meteorological Administration project daytime highs of 29–31°C under mostly clear conditions, with overnight lows settling in the 18–20°C range amid typical late-summer humidity and minimal cloud cover. Trader positioning, with 19°C leading at 47.5% implied probability ahead of closely matched 18°C and 20°C options, reflects remaining uncertainty in exact boundary-layer cooling rates before final observational data resolves the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$95Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent rainfall across Beijing through August 28, followed by clearing skies and light winds on the 29th, supports efficient nighttime radiative cooling that favors a minimum near 19°C according to consensus from global and regional models. Official forecasts from sources aligned with the China Meteorological Administration project daytime highs of 29–31°C under mostly clear conditions, with overnight lows settling in the 18–20°C range amid typical late-summer humidity and minimal cloud cover. Trader positioning, with 19°C leading at 47.5% implied probability ahead of closely matched 18°C and 20°C options, reflects remaining uncertainty in exact boundary-layer cooling rates before final observational data resolves the market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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