Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional analyses project an overnight low near 27°C for Shanghai on August 29, driven by typical late-summer humidity, light southeasterly winds, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This consensus positions 27°C and 28°C as the dominant market outcomes at 50.0% and 39.5% implied probability, respectively, while cooler thresholds like 26°C or below carry lower odds amid stable model runs showing minimal deviation. Warmer extremes above 29°C remain improbable given the absence of strong warming advection or clear-sky conditions that could suppress the minimum. Updated guidance over the past 24 hours has reinforced this narrow range without notable shifts from synoptic patterns.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 29?
27°C 50%
28°C 40%
26°C 8%
25°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
8%
27°C
50%
28°C
40%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 50%
28°C 40%
26°C 8%
25°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
$123 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$15 Vol.
3%
25°C
$75 Vol.
5%
26°C
$105 Vol.
8%
27°C
$304 Vol.
50%
28°C
$121 Vol.
40%
29°C
$67 Vol.
5%
30°C
$23 Vol.
1%
31°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$39 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional analyses project an overnight low near 27°C for Shanghai on August 29, driven by typical late-summer humidity, light southeasterly winds, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This consensus positions 27°C and 28°C as the dominant market outcomes at 50.0% and 39.5% implied probability, respectively, while cooler thresholds like 26°C or below carry lower odds amid stable model runs showing minimal deviation. Warmer extremes above 29°C remain improbable given the absence of strong warming advection or clear-sky conditions that could suppress the minimum. Updated guidance over the past 24 hours has reinforced this narrow range without notable shifts from synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$891Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional analyses project an overnight low near 27°C for Shanghai on August 29, driven by typical late-summer humidity, light southeasterly winds, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This consensus positions 27°C and 28°C as the dominant market outcomes at 50.0% and 39.5% implied probability, respectively, while cooler thresholds like 26°C or below carry lower odds amid stable model runs showing minimal deviation. Warmer extremes above 29°C remain improbable given the absence of strong warming advection or clear-sky conditions that could suppress the minimum. Updated guidance over the past 24 hours has reinforced this narrow range without notable shifts from synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$891Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional analyses project an overnight low near 27°C for Shanghai on August 29, driven by typical late-summer humidity, light southeasterly winds, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This consensus positions 27°C and 28°C as the dominant market outcomes at 50.0% and 39.5% implied probability, respectively, while cooler thresholds like 26°C or below carry lower odds amid stable model runs showing minimal deviation. Warmer extremes above 29°C remain improbable given the absence of strong warming advection or clear-sky conditions that could suppress the minimum. Updated guidance over the past 24 hours has reinforced this narrow range without notable shifts from synoptic patterns.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan