Ongoing summer heat and moisture from a lingering stationary front are anchoring market-implied probabilities near 25–27°C for Busan’s August 30 minimum, with 26°C leading at 40%. High dew points near 25–27°C and persistent cloud cover limit overnight radiative cooling, sustaining tropical-night conditions above 25°C as confirmed by recent Busan Meteorological Office guidance and model consensus. Southwest flow and scattered thunderstorms add modest mixing but little cooling. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and frontal position, which could shift the low by 1–2°C depending on clearance before dawn. KMA and global model updates through August 29 will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Busan on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Busan on August 30?
22°C or below 45%
26°C 33%
25°C 30%
28°C 25%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
45%
23°C
25%
24°C
21%
25°C
30%
26°C
33%
27°C
25%
28°C
25%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
8%
22°C or below 45%
26°C 33%
25°C 30%
28°C 25%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
$145 Vol.
45%
23°C
$0 Vol.
25%
24°C
$0 Vol.
21%
25°C
$0 Vol.
30%
26°C
$0 Vol.
33%
27°C
$0 Vol.
25%
28°C
$0 Vol.
25%
29°C
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C
$15 Vol.
8%
31°C
$5 Vol.
8%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing summer heat and moisture from a lingering stationary front are anchoring market-implied probabilities near 25–27°C for Busan’s August 30 minimum, with 26°C leading at 40%. High dew points near 25–27°C and persistent cloud cover limit overnight radiative cooling, sustaining tropical-night conditions above 25°C as confirmed by recent Busan Meteorological Office guidance and model consensus. Southwest flow and scattered thunderstorms add modest mixing but little cooling. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and frontal position, which could shift the low by 1–2°C depending on clearance before dawn. KMA and global model updates through August 29 will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$170Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing summer heat and moisture from a lingering stationary front are anchoring market-implied probabilities near 25–27°C for Busan’s August 30 minimum, with 26°C leading at 40%. High dew points near 25–27°C and persistent cloud cover limit overnight radiative cooling, sustaining tropical-night conditions above 25°C as confirmed by recent Busan Meteorological Office guidance and model consensus. Southwest flow and scattered thunderstorms add modest mixing but little cooling. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and frontal position, which could shift the low by 1–2°C depending on clearance before dawn. KMA and global model updates through August 29 will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$170Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing summer heat and moisture from a lingering stationary front are anchoring market-implied probabilities near 25–27°C for Busan’s August 30 minimum, with 26°C leading at 40%. High dew points near 25–27°C and persistent cloud cover limit overnight radiative cooling, sustaining tropical-night conditions above 25°C as confirmed by recent Busan Meteorological Office guidance and model consensus. Southwest flow and scattered thunderstorms add modest mixing but little cooling. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and frontal position, which could shift the low by 1–2°C depending on clearance before dawn. KMA and global model updates through August 29 will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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