Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum temperature in Chengdu on August 30 near 20–23°C, driven by clearing skies overnight after recent showers that enhanced evaporative cooling and reduced daytime heat storage in the Sichuan Basin. High humidity (around 60–80%) will limit extreme radiative losses, while light winds and partly cloudy conditions prevent strong inversion formation. Recent pattern shifts from persistent August rain to drier, more stable air have raised the implied probability for this moderate range, consistent with climatological baselines for late-summer lows near 22°C. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the key data point that could refine resolution odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 30?
28°C or higher 58%
18°C or below 57%
21°C 57%
27°C 56%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
18°C or below
57%
19°C
26%
20°C
31%
21°C
57%
22°C
36%
23°C
52%
24°C
40%
25°C
9%
26°C
25%
27°C
56%
28°C or higher
58%
28°C or higher 58%
18°C or below 57%
21°C 57%
27°C 56%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
18°C or below
$145 Vol.
57%
19°C
$54 Vol.
26%
20°C
$0 Vol.
31%
21°C
$0 Vol.
57%
22°C
$0 Vol.
36%
23°C
$0 Vol.
52%
24°C
$0 Vol.
40%
25°C
$0 Vol.
9%
26°C
$10 Vol.
25%
27°C
$145 Vol.
56%
28°C or higher
$145 Vol.
58%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum temperature in Chengdu on August 30 near 20–23°C, driven by clearing skies overnight after recent showers that enhanced evaporative cooling and reduced daytime heat storage in the Sichuan Basin. High humidity (around 60–80%) will limit extreme radiative losses, while light winds and partly cloudy conditions prevent strong inversion formation. Recent pattern shifts from persistent August rain to drier, more stable air have raised the implied probability for this moderate range, consistent with climatological baselines for late-summer lows near 22°C. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the key data point that could refine resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$499Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum temperature in Chengdu on August 30 near 20–23°C, driven by clearing skies overnight after recent showers that enhanced evaporative cooling and reduced daytime heat storage in the Sichuan Basin. High humidity (around 60–80%) will limit extreme radiative losses, while light winds and partly cloudy conditions prevent strong inversion formation. Recent pattern shifts from persistent August rain to drier, more stable air have raised the implied probability for this moderate range, consistent with climatological baselines for late-summer lows near 22°C. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the key data point that could refine resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$499Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum temperature in Chengdu on August 30 near 20–23°C, driven by clearing skies overnight after recent showers that enhanced evaporative cooling and reduced daytime heat storage in the Sichuan Basin. High humidity (around 60–80%) will limit extreme radiative losses, while light winds and partly cloudy conditions prevent strong inversion formation. Recent pattern shifts from persistent August rain to drier, more stable air have raised the implied probability for this moderate range, consistent with climatological baselines for late-summer lows near 22°C. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the key data point that could refine resolution odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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