Recent ensemble forecasts for Chengdu highlight uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and scattered precipitation on August 29, driving closely matched market-implied odds near 47% for 24–25°C lows. Historical August minimums average 22–23°C in this humid subtropical climate, with late-month values often moderated by monsoon moisture and Sichuan Basin topography that limits extreme drops. Model runs diverge on exact timing of any clearing skies versus persistent humidity, keeping probabilities clustered across 21–25°C while extremes below 18°C or above 26°C remain negligible at under 1%. Updated numerical weather prediction outputs expected overnight will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 29?
19°C 90%
18°C 89%
20°C 76%
25°C 48%
BARU
BARU
Aug 29, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
89%
19°C
90%
20°C
76%
21°C
46%
22°C
47%
23°C
35%
24°C
47%
25°C
48%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
19°C 90%
18°C 89%
20°C 76%
25°C 48%
BARU
BARU
Aug 29, 2026
17°C or below
$151 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$5 Vol.
89%
19°C
$5 Vol.
90%
20°C
$64 Vol.
76%
21°C
$10 Vol.
46%
22°C
$0 Vol.
47%
23°C
$0 Vol.
35%
24°C
$0 Vol.
47%
25°C
$0 Vol.
48%
26°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$30 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts for Chengdu highlight uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and scattered precipitation on August 29, driving closely matched market-implied odds near 47% for 24–25°C lows. Historical August minimums average 22–23°C in this humid subtropical climate, with late-month values often moderated by monsoon moisture and Sichuan Basin topography that limits extreme drops. Model runs diverge on exact timing of any clearing skies versus persistent humidity, keeping probabilities clustered across 21–25°C while extremes below 18°C or above 26°C remain negligible at under 1%. Updated numerical weather prediction outputs expected overnight will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$329Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts for Chengdu highlight uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and scattered precipitation on August 29, driving closely matched market-implied odds near 47% for 24–25°C lows. Historical August minimums average 22–23°C in this humid subtropical climate, with late-month values often moderated by monsoon moisture and Sichuan Basin topography that limits extreme drops. Model runs diverge on exact timing of any clearing skies versus persistent humidity, keeping probabilities clustered across 21–25°C while extremes below 18°C or above 26°C remain negligible at under 1%. Updated numerical weather prediction outputs expected overnight will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$329Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts for Chengdu highlight uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and scattered precipitation on August 29, driving closely matched market-implied odds near 47% for 24–25°C lows. Historical August minimums average 22–23°C in this humid subtropical climate, with late-month values often moderated by monsoon moisture and Sichuan Basin topography that limits extreme drops. Model runs diverge on exact timing of any clearing skies versus persistent humidity, keeping probabilities clustered across 21–25°C while extremes below 18°C or above 26°C remain negligible at under 1%. Updated numerical weather prediction outputs expected overnight will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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