Recent forecasts from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models point to a daily minimum in Helsinki on August 30 around 14–16 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and southerly winds limiting radiational cooling under high humidity. These conditions align with late-August climatology, where average lows near 12 °C reflect typical maritime influence and frontal passages, yet model ensembles show spread that keeps substantial trader weight on an 11 °C or below outcome. The elevated implied probability for cooler thresholds reflects uncertainty in exact overnight minima amid variable precipitation timing and wind speeds, while higher outcomes above 17 °C carry lower weight given the absence of clear, calm conditions needed for stronger cooling. Updated model runs and observational data through the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Helsinki on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Helsinki on August 30?
11°C or below 83%
14°C 29%
15°C 28%
13°C 26%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
11°C or below
83%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
29%
15°C
28%
16°C
23%
17°C
24%
18°C
8%
19°C
8%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
10%
11°C or below 83%
14°C 29%
15°C 28%
13°C 26%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
11°C or below
$16 Vol.
83%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$0 Vol.
26%
14°C
$0 Vol.
29%
15°C
$0 Vol.
28%
16°C
$0 Vol.
23%
17°C
$0 Vol.
24%
18°C
$15 Vol.
8%
19°C
$5 Vol.
8%
20°C
$5 Vol.
1%
21°C or higher
$5 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models point to a daily minimum in Helsinki on August 30 around 14–16 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and southerly winds limiting radiational cooling under high humidity. These conditions align with late-August climatology, where average lows near 12 °C reflect typical maritime influence and frontal passages, yet model ensembles show spread that keeps substantial trader weight on an 11 °C or below outcome. The elevated implied probability for cooler thresholds reflects uncertainty in exact overnight minima amid variable precipitation timing and wind speeds, while higher outcomes above 17 °C carry lower weight given the absence of clear, calm conditions needed for stronger cooling. Updated model runs and observational data through the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$46Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models point to a daily minimum in Helsinki on August 30 around 14–16 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and southerly winds limiting radiational cooling under high humidity. These conditions align with late-August climatology, where average lows near 12 °C reflect typical maritime influence and frontal passages, yet model ensembles show spread that keeps substantial trader weight on an 11 °C or below outcome. The elevated implied probability for cooler thresholds reflects uncertainty in exact overnight minima amid variable precipitation timing and wind speeds, while higher outcomes above 17 °C carry lower weight given the absence of clear, calm conditions needed for stronger cooling. Updated model runs and observational data through the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$46Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models point to a daily minimum in Helsinki on August 30 around 14–16 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and southerly winds limiting radiational cooling under high humidity. These conditions align with late-August climatology, where average lows near 12 °C reflect typical maritime influence and frontal passages, yet model ensembles show spread that keeps substantial trader weight on an 11 °C or below outcome. The elevated implied probability for cooler thresholds reflects uncertainty in exact overnight minima amid variable precipitation timing and wind speeds, while higher outcomes above 17 °C carry lower weight given the absence of clear, calm conditions needed for stronger cooling. Updated model runs and observational data through the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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