Latest numerical weather prediction guidance from major models supports trader focus on a 15–16°C minimum in London on August 2, reflecting a mild maritime air mass under weakening high pressure and limited overnight radiational cooling from partial cloud cover and light winds. Seasonal baselines place typical early-August lows near 14°C, yet persistent marine warmth and above-normal 850 hPa temperatures have elevated recent forecasts by 1–2°C. Ensemble spread remains narrow, with small variations in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing the main sources of uncertainty between the two leading outcomes; fresh model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 24 hours will clarify whether any additional cooling develops.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in London on August 2?
Lowest temperature in London on August 2?
15°C 45%
16°C 35%
17°C 15%
14°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 2, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
45%
16°C
35%
17°C
15%
18°C
3%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
15°C 45%
16°C 35%
17°C 15%
14°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 2, 2026
11°C or below
$194 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$228 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$357 Vol.
1%
14°C
$381 Vol.
4%
15°C
$668 Vol.
45%
16°C
$2,819 Vol.
35%
17°C
$1,327 Vol.
15%
18°C
$255 Vol.
3%
19°C
$152 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$497 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$287 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction guidance from major models supports trader focus on a 15–16°C minimum in London on August 2, reflecting a mild maritime air mass under weakening high pressure and limited overnight radiational cooling from partial cloud cover and light winds. Seasonal baselines place typical early-August lows near 14°C, yet persistent marine warmth and above-normal 850 hPa temperatures have elevated recent forecasts by 1–2°C. Ensemble spread remains narrow, with small variations in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing the main sources of uncertainty between the two leading outcomes; fresh model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 24 hours will clarify whether any additional cooling develops.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$7,165Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction guidance from major models supports trader focus on a 15–16°C minimum in London on August 2, reflecting a mild maritime air mass under weakening high pressure and limited overnight radiational cooling from partial cloud cover and light winds. Seasonal baselines place typical early-August lows near 14°C, yet persistent marine warmth and above-normal 850 hPa temperatures have elevated recent forecasts by 1–2°C. Ensemble spread remains narrow, with small variations in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing the main sources of uncertainty between the two leading outcomes; fresh model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 24 hours will clarify whether any additional cooling develops.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,165Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction guidance from major models supports trader focus on a 15–16°C minimum in London on August 2, reflecting a mild maritime air mass under weakening high pressure and limited overnight radiational cooling from partial cloud cover and light winds. Seasonal baselines place typical early-August lows near 14°C, yet persistent marine warmth and above-normal 850 hPa temperatures have elevated recent forecasts by 1–2°C. Ensemble spread remains narrow, with small variations in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing the main sources of uncertainty between the two leading outcomes; fresh model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 24 hours will clarify whether any additional cooling develops.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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