Forecast models from the UK Met Office and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature near 16–17°C in London on August 25, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. Recent high-pressure dominance has produced clear skies and light winds that favor radiative cooling overnight, while a subtle Atlantic front may introduce variable cloud cover that could moderate the low by 1–2°C. Historical late-August baselines for the city center hover near 14–15°C, but current sea-surface temperatures and a weak jet-stream pattern favor slightly milder nights. Traders weigh ensemble spread in the 0Z and 12Z model runs, with resolution hinging on the exact overnight minimum recorded at the official Heathrow or St James’s Park station. Updated guidance ahead of the 24th could shift probabilities if a stronger trough develops.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in London on August 25?
Lowest temperature in London on August 25?
17°C 38%
16°C 28%
18°C 18%
15°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
11°C or below
5%
12°C
5%
13°C
4%
14°C
6%
15°C
11%
16°C
28%
17°C
38%
18°C
18%
19°C
9%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
2%
17°C 38%
16°C 28%
18°C 18%
15°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
11°C or below
$5 Vol.
5%
12°C
$5 Vol.
5%
13°C
$4 Vol.
4%
14°C
$0 Vol.
6%
15°C
$0 Vol.
11%
16°C
$0 Vol.
28%
17°C
$0 Vol.
38%
18°C
$0 Vol.
18%
19°C
$0 Vol.
9%
20°C
$5 Vol.
2%
21°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the UK Met Office and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature near 16–17°C in London on August 25, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. Recent high-pressure dominance has produced clear skies and light winds that favor radiative cooling overnight, while a subtle Atlantic front may introduce variable cloud cover that could moderate the low by 1–2°C. Historical late-August baselines for the city center hover near 14–15°C, but current sea-surface temperatures and a weak jet-stream pattern favor slightly milder nights. Traders weigh ensemble spread in the 0Z and 12Z model runs, with resolution hinging on the exact overnight minimum recorded at the official Heathrow or St James’s Park station. Updated guidance ahead of the 24th could shift probabilities if a stronger trough develops.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$24Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the UK Met Office and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature near 16–17°C in London on August 25, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. Recent high-pressure dominance has produced clear skies and light winds that favor radiative cooling overnight, while a subtle Atlantic front may introduce variable cloud cover that could moderate the low by 1–2°C. Historical late-August baselines for the city center hover near 14–15°C, but current sea-surface temperatures and a weak jet-stream pattern favor slightly milder nights. Traders weigh ensemble spread in the 0Z and 12Z model runs, with resolution hinging on the exact overnight minimum recorded at the official Heathrow or St James’s Park station. Updated guidance ahead of the 24th could shift probabilities if a stronger trough develops.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the UK Met Office and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature near 16–17°C in London on August 25, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. Recent high-pressure dominance has produced clear skies and light winds that favor radiative cooling overnight, while a subtle Atlantic front may introduce variable cloud cover that could moderate the low by 1–2°C. Historical late-August baselines for the city center hover near 14–15°C, but current sea-surface temperatures and a weak jet-stream pattern favor slightly milder nights. Traders weigh ensemble spread in the 0Z and 12Z model runs, with resolution hinging on the exact overnight minimum recorded at the official Heathrow or St James’s Park station. Updated guidance ahead of the 24th could shift probabilities if a stronger trough develops.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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