Recent Met Office and ECMWF model consensus supports a minimum temperature near 15°C in London on August 8, reflecting mild Atlantic high-pressure conditions with limited cloud cover and moderate radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology, where average lows hover around 13–15°C, though a recent warming trend with daytime highs climbing toward 28°C has nudged probabilities toward 15–16°C outcomes. Urban heat-island effects from the city further temper extremes, while variable wind patterns introduce minor uncertainty in exact valley or suburban readings. Traders are weighting the latest short-range guidance heavily, with resolution hinging on official 24-hour minimum observations from central London stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in London on August 8?
15°C 41%
16°C 37%
14°C 16%
17°C 1.3%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
16%
15°C
41%
16°C
37%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 41%
16°C 37%
14°C 16%
17°C 1.3%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
16%
15°C
41%
16°C
37%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ECMWF model consensus supports a minimum temperature near 15°C in London on August 8, reflecting mild Atlantic high-pressure conditions with limited cloud cover and moderate radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology, where average lows hover around 13–15°C, though a recent warming trend with daytime highs climbing toward 28°C has nudged probabilities toward 15–16°C outcomes. Urban heat-island effects from the city further temper extremes, while variable wind patterns introduce minor uncertainty in exact valley or suburban readings. Traders are weighting the latest short-range guidance heavily, with resolution hinging on official 24-hour minimum observations from central London stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan