Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a minimum temperature near 15–16°C for London on July 2, driven by a mild southwesterly flow under slack high pressure that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Light winds and variable cloud cover are expected to moderate heat loss from the urban surface, while the city’s heat-island effect adds roughly 1–2°C compared with rural sites. With leading market probabilities tightly clustered between 15°C and 18°C, traders are weighting the spread in forecast guidance—particularly differences in predicted cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing—alongside climatological July overnight lows near 14°C. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in London on July 2?
Lowest temperature in London on July 2?
17°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$30,910 Vol.
$30,910 Vol.
Jul 2, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$30,910 Vol.
$30,910 Vol.
Jul 2, 2026
12°C or below
$1,671 Vol.
No
13°C
$920 Vol.
No
14°C
$2,024 Vol.
No
15°C
$1,194 Vol.
No
16°C
$2,032 Vol.
No
17°C
$6,470 Vol.
Yes
18°C
$6,167 Vol.
No
19°C
$3,161 Vol.
No
20°C
$3,509 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,981 Vol.
No
22°C or higher
$1,780 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a minimum temperature near 15–16°C for London on July 2, driven by a mild southwesterly flow under slack high pressure that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Light winds and variable cloud cover are expected to moderate heat loss from the urban surface, while the city’s heat-island effect adds roughly 1–2°C compared with rural sites. With leading market probabilities tightly clustered between 15°C and 18°C, traders are weighting the spread in forecast guidance—particularly differences in predicted cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing—alongside climatological July overnight lows near 14°C. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$30,910Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a minimum temperature near 15–16°C for London on July 2, driven by a mild southwesterly flow under slack high pressure that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Light winds and variable cloud cover are expected to moderate heat loss from the urban surface, while the city’s heat-island effect adds roughly 1–2°C compared with rural sites. With leading market probabilities tightly clustered between 15°C and 18°C, traders are weighting the spread in forecast guidance—particularly differences in predicted cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing—alongside climatological July overnight lows near 14°C. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30,910Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a minimum temperature near 15–16°C for London on July 2, driven by a mild southwesterly flow under slack high pressure that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Light winds and variable cloud cover are expected to moderate heat loss from the urban surface, while the city’s heat-island effect adds roughly 1–2°C compared with rural sites. With leading market probabilities tightly clustered between 15°C and 18°C, traders are weighting the spread in forecast guidance—particularly differences in predicted cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing—alongside climatological July overnight lows near 14°C. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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