Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to overnight lows of 24–26°C in Manila on September 12, reflecting broad agreement across PAGASA and global forecast models during the southwest monsoon. Cloud cover, rainfall timing, and wind shifts tied to any nearby tropical moisture can alter radiative cooling and produce 1–2°C differences in minimum readings, which accounts for the clustered odds. Current ENSO-neutral conditions align with historical September baselines near 25°C at the Manila synoptic station, while urban heat-island effects and land-sea breezes add local variability. Fresh model guidance and official PAGASA updates tomorrow morning will likely tighten the range as precipitation and boundary-layer conditions are resolved.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Manila on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 12?
21°C or below 47%
31°C or higher 47%
23°C 39%
28°C 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 12, 2026
21°C or below
47%
22°C
15%
23°C
39%
24°C
28%
25°C
31%
26°C
29%
27°C
21%
28°C
39%
29°C
18%
30°C
14%
31°C or higher
47%
21°C or below 47%
31°C or higher 47%
23°C 39%
28°C 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 12, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
47%
22°C
$0 Vol.
15%
23°C
$47 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
28%
25°C
$0 Vol.
31%
26°C
$0 Vol.
29%
27°C
$40 Vol.
21%
28°C
$0 Vol.
39%
29°C
$0 Vol.
18%
30°C
$0 Vol.
14%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to overnight lows of 24–26°C in Manila on September 12, reflecting broad agreement across PAGASA and global forecast models during the southwest monsoon. Cloud cover, rainfall timing, and wind shifts tied to any nearby tropical moisture can alter radiative cooling and produce 1–2°C differences in minimum readings, which accounts for the clustered odds. Current ENSO-neutral conditions align with historical September baselines near 25°C at the Manila synoptic station, while urban heat-island effects and land-sea breezes add local variability. Fresh model guidance and official PAGASA updates tomorrow morning will likely tighten the range as precipitation and boundary-layer conditions are resolved.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$88Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to overnight lows of 24–26°C in Manila on September 12, reflecting broad agreement across PAGASA and global forecast models during the southwest monsoon. Cloud cover, rainfall timing, and wind shifts tied to any nearby tropical moisture can alter radiative cooling and produce 1–2°C differences in minimum readings, which accounts for the clustered odds. Current ENSO-neutral conditions align with historical September baselines near 25°C at the Manila synoptic station, while urban heat-island effects and land-sea breezes add local variability. Fresh model guidance and official PAGASA updates tomorrow morning will likely tighten the range as precipitation and boundary-layer conditions are resolved.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$88Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to overnight lows of 24–26°C in Manila on September 12, reflecting broad agreement across PAGASA and global forecast models during the southwest monsoon. Cloud cover, rainfall timing, and wind shifts tied to any nearby tropical moisture can alter radiative cooling and produce 1–2°C differences in minimum readings, which accounts for the clustered odds. Current ENSO-neutral conditions align with historical September baselines near 25°C at the Manila synoptic station, while urban heat-island effects and land-sea breezes add local variability. Fresh model guidance and official PAGASA updates tomorrow morning will likely tighten the range as precipitation and boundary-layer conditions are resolved.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan