High humidity and subtropical maritime air in Miami limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures near seasonal norms of 78°F amid light winds and warm Gulf Stream waters. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms and associated cloud cover on August 4–5 further trap heat, supporting the market’s near-even split between 78–79°F (49%) and 76–77°F (43.5%). Model guidance shows modest variability in boundary-layer moisture and convective timing that could tip the low a degree either way, while clearer breaks would favor the cooler bin. Traders weigh National Weather Service forecasts against climatological baselines, recognizing that typical August conditions rarely allow deeper drops absent unusual synoptic cooling.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Miami on August 5?
78-79°F 51%
76-77°F 44%
74-75°F 4.5%
72-73°F <1%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
44%
78-79°F
53%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 51%
76-77°F 44%
74-75°F 4.5%
72-73°F <1%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
44%
78-79°F
53%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...High humidity and subtropical maritime air in Miami limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures near seasonal norms of 78°F amid light winds and warm Gulf Stream waters. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms and associated cloud cover on August 4–5 further trap heat, supporting the market’s near-even split between 78–79°F (49%) and 76–77°F (43.5%). Model guidance shows modest variability in boundary-layer moisture and convective timing that could tip the low a degree either way, while clearer breaks would favor the cooler bin. Traders weigh National Weather Service forecasts against climatological baselines, recognizing that typical August conditions rarely allow deeper drops absent unusual synoptic cooling.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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