Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate New York City overnight lows for August 21 will likely fall in the mid-to-upper 60s°F, aligning with the market's strongest implied probabilities around 66–69°F. This positioning reflects a modest cooling trend relative to mid-August averages near 67–70°F, driven by northerly flow and clearer skies that enhance radiational cooling under lighter winds. Model consensus points to a minimum near 66–68°F, with limited spread across guidance due to stable high-pressure influence and no significant warm advection expected overnight. Historical August Central Park data shows comparable late-month lows occur frequently when dew points drop below 60°F, supporting trader focus on these bins over warmer or much cooler outcomes. Updated model runs through August 19–20 have reinforced this range without major shifts, keeping resolution criteria centered on the official Central Park thermometer reading.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in NYC on August 21?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 21?
68-69°F 42%
66-67°F 25%
70-71°F 16%
64-65°F 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 21, 2026
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
4%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
42%
70-71°F
16%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
1%
68-69°F 42%
66-67°F 25%
70-71°F 16%
64-65°F 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 21, 2026
57°F or below
$170 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$10 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$15 Vol.
2%
62-63°F
$51 Vol.
4%
64-65°F
$99 Vol.
6%
66-67°F
$6 Vol.
25%
68-69°F
$56 Vol.
42%
70-71°F
$121 Vol.
16%
72-73°F
$130 Vol.
4%
74-75°F
$238 Vol.
1%
76°F or higher
$158 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate New York City overnight lows for August 21 will likely fall in the mid-to-upper 60s°F, aligning with the market's strongest implied probabilities around 66–69°F. This positioning reflects a modest cooling trend relative to mid-August averages near 67–70°F, driven by northerly flow and clearer skies that enhance radiational cooling under lighter winds. Model consensus points to a minimum near 66–68°F, with limited spread across guidance due to stable high-pressure influence and no significant warm advection expected overnight. Historical August Central Park data shows comparable late-month lows occur frequently when dew points drop below 60°F, supporting trader focus on these bins over warmer or much cooler outcomes. Updated model runs through August 19–20 have reinforced this range without major shifts, keeping resolution criteria centered on the official Central Park thermometer reading.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 19, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$1,054Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 19, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate New York City overnight lows for August 21 will likely fall in the mid-to-upper 60s°F, aligning with the market's strongest implied probabilities around 66–69°F. This positioning reflects a modest cooling trend relative to mid-August averages near 67–70°F, driven by northerly flow and clearer skies that enhance radiational cooling under lighter winds. Model consensus points to a minimum near 66–68°F, with limited spread across guidance due to stable high-pressure influence and no significant warm advection expected overnight. Historical August Central Park data shows comparable late-month lows occur frequently when dew points drop below 60°F, supporting trader focus on these bins over warmer or much cooler outcomes. Updated model runs through August 19–20 have reinforced this range without major shifts, keeping resolution criteria centered on the official Central Park thermometer reading.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,054Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 19, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate New York City overnight lows for August 21 will likely fall in the mid-to-upper 60s°F, aligning with the market's strongest implied probabilities around 66–69°F. This positioning reflects a modest cooling trend relative to mid-August averages near 67–70°F, driven by northerly flow and clearer skies that enhance radiational cooling under lighter winds. Model consensus points to a minimum near 66–68°F, with limited spread across guidance due to stable high-pressure influence and no significant warm advection expected overnight. Historical August Central Park data shows comparable late-month lows occur frequently when dew points drop below 60°F, supporting trader focus on these bins over warmer or much cooler outcomes. Updated model runs through August 19–20 have reinforced this range without major shifts, keeping resolution criteria centered on the official Central Park thermometer reading.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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