**Forecast models and observational trends indicate the lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 29 will most likely fall in the 23–25 °C range, driven by a shift to northerly winds beginning that day.** Persistent southerly and easterly flow has kept overnight lows elevated near 26 °C through August 28, but the subtropical high’s repositioning is allowing cooler, drier air from the north to advect over the Shandong Peninsula. This change, combined with partly cloudy skies and scattered showers, supports radiative cooling overnight. Multiple guidance sources (local Qingdao meteorological updates, ECMWF-derived runs, and Yr) converge on a minimum of 23–25 °C, with limited model spread. Historical August climatology for the coastal city shows typical lows around 22 °C, so the current pattern represents a modest departure toward slightly warmer values. The market’s elevated probability on 30 °C or higher may reflect lingering warm bias from recent days rather than the latest model consensus. Updated overnight observations and final model runs on the morning of August 29 will provide the clearest signal for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 29?
30°C or higher 84%
26°C 49%
27°C 49%
28°C 49%
BARU
BARU
Aug 29, 2026
20°C or below
44%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
27%
25°C
26%
26°C
49%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C or higher
84%
30°C or higher 84%
26°C 49%
27°C 49%
28°C 49%
BARU
BARU
Aug 29, 2026
20°C or below
$59 Vol.
44%
21°C
$0 Vol.
26%
22°C
$0 Vol.
26%
23°C
$0 Vol.
26%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$10 Vol.
49%
27°C
$5 Vol.
49%
28°C
$5 Vol.
49%
29°C
$5 Vol.
49%
30°C or higher
$5 Vol.
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and observational trends indicate the lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 29 will most likely fall in the 23–25 °C range, driven by a shift to northerly winds beginning that day.**
Persistent southerly and easterly flow has kept overnight lows elevated near 26 °C through August 28, but the subtropical high’s repositioning is allowing cooler, drier air from the north to advect over the Shandong Peninsula. This change, combined with partly cloudy skies and scattered showers, supports radiative cooling overnight. Multiple guidance sources (local Qingdao meteorological updates, ECMWF-derived runs, and Yr) converge on a minimum of 23–25 °C, with limited model spread. Historical August climatology for the coastal city shows typical lows around 22 °C, so the current pattern represents a modest departure toward slightly warmer values. The market’s elevated probability on 30 °C or higher may reflect lingering warm bias from recent days rather than the latest model consensus. Updated overnight observations and final model runs on the morning of August 29 will provide the clearest signal for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$89Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and observational trends indicate the lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 29 will most likely fall in the 23–25 °C range, driven by a shift to northerly winds beginning that day.**
Persistent southerly and easterly flow has kept overnight lows elevated near 26 °C through August 28, but the subtropical high’s repositioning is allowing cooler, drier air from the north to advect over the Shandong Peninsula. This change, combined with partly cloudy skies and scattered showers, supports radiative cooling overnight. Multiple guidance sources (local Qingdao meteorological updates, ECMWF-derived runs, and Yr) converge on a minimum of 23–25 °C, with limited model spread. Historical August climatology for the coastal city shows typical lows around 22 °C, so the current pattern represents a modest departure toward slightly warmer values. The market’s elevated probability on 30 °C or higher may reflect lingering warm bias from recent days rather than the latest model consensus. Updated overnight observations and final model runs on the morning of August 29 will provide the clearest signal for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$89Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and observational trends indicate the lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 29 will most likely fall in the 23–25 °C range, driven by a shift to northerly winds beginning that day.** Persistent southerly and easterly flow has kept overnight lows elevated near 26 °C through August 28, but the subtropical high’s repositioning is allowing cooler, drier air from the north to advect over the Shandong Peninsula. This change, combined with partly cloudy skies and scattered showers, supports radiative cooling overnight. Multiple guidance sources (local Qingdao meteorological updates, ECMWF-derived runs, and Yr) converge on a minimum of 23–25 °C, with limited model spread. Historical August climatology for the coastal city shows typical lows around 22 °C, so the current pattern represents a modest departure toward slightly warmer values. The market’s elevated probability on 30 °C or higher may reflect lingering warm bias from recent days rather than the latest model consensus. Updated overnight observations and final model runs on the morning of August 29 will provide the clearest signal for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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