Current forecast guidance for Qingdao on September 24 points to a minimum temperature near 20–22°C, supported by southerly to southeasterly flow off the Yellow Sea, high humidity, and increasing cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. Multiple models show the daily low occurring in the early morning hours before light rain or drizzle develops later in the period, consistent with seasonal norms for coastal Shandong in late September. Trader emphasis on outcomes at or below 19°C likely reflects uncertainty around precise model runs, potential for slightly stronger onshore advection, or the exact timing of any frontal passage, while warmer bins capture the baseline expectation absent major shifts in steering patterns. Updated numerical guidance and official station observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 24?
17°C or below 91%
27°C or higher 76%
20°C 36%
21°C 36%
17°C or below
91%
18°C
19%
19°C
30%
20°C
36%
21°C
36%
22°C
36%
23°C
36%
24°C
13%
25°C
13%
26°C
13%
27°C or higher
76%
17°C or below 91%
27°C or higher 76%
20°C 36%
21°C 36%
17°C or below
91%
18°C
19%
19°C
30%
20°C
36%
21°C
36%
22°C
36%
23°C
36%
24°C
13%
25°C
13%
26°C
13%
27°C or higher
76%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance for Qingdao on September 24 points to a minimum temperature near 20–22°C, supported by southerly to southeasterly flow off the Yellow Sea, high humidity, and increasing cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. Multiple models show the daily low occurring in the early morning hours before light rain or drizzle develops later in the period, consistent with seasonal norms for coastal Shandong in late September. Trader emphasis on outcomes at or below 19°C likely reflects uncertainty around precise model runs, potential for slightly stronger onshore advection, or the exact timing of any frontal passage, while warmer bins capture the baseline expectation absent major shifts in steering patterns. Updated numerical guidance and official station observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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