Official meteorological records from São Paulo stations, including data showing a minimum of 13.9°C on August 23, 2026, underpin the market's near-certain 14°C resolution at 100% implied probability. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from regional models anticipating stable winter conditions with overnight lows near seasonal norms of 12–14°C, absent any cold front or radiative cooling anomalies. Trader consensus reflects the high reliability of ground-based thermometer networks and the absence of conflicting observational reports. Resolution could shift only if official agencies revise the daily minimum through quality control or adopt a different reference station, though such adjustments remain rare for this timeframe.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 23?
14°C 100.0%
13°C 1.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
$2,194 Vol.
$2,194 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
13°C 1.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
$2,194 Vol.
$2,194 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
8°C or below
$140 Vol.
No
9°C
$85 Vol.
No
10°C
$5 Vol.
No
11°C
$210 Vol.
No
12°C
$148 Vol.
No
13°C
$5 Vol.
No
14°C
$625 Vol.
Yes
15°C
$90 Vol.
No
16°C
$590 Vol.
No
17°C
$115 Vol.
No
18°C or higher
$181 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological records from São Paulo stations, including data showing a minimum of 13.9°C on August 23, 2026, underpin the market's near-certain 14°C resolution at 100% implied probability. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from regional models anticipating stable winter conditions with overnight lows near seasonal norms of 12–14°C, absent any cold front or radiative cooling anomalies. Trader consensus reflects the high reliability of ground-based thermometer networks and the absence of conflicting observational reports. Resolution could shift only if official agencies revise the daily minimum through quality control or adopt a different reference station, though such adjustments remain rare for this timeframe.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$2,194Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological records from São Paulo stations, including data showing a minimum of 13.9°C on August 23, 2026, underpin the market's near-certain 14°C resolution at 100% implied probability. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from regional models anticipating stable winter conditions with overnight lows near seasonal norms of 12–14°C, absent any cold front or radiative cooling anomalies. Trader consensus reflects the high reliability of ground-based thermometer networks and the absence of conflicting observational reports. Resolution could shift only if official agencies revise the daily minimum through quality control or adopt a different reference station, though such adjustments remain rare for this timeframe.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,194Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Official meteorological records from São Paulo stations, including data showing a minimum of 13.9°C on August 23, 2026, underpin the market's near-certain 14°C resolution at 100% implied probability. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from regional models anticipating stable winter conditions with overnight lows near seasonal norms of 12–14°C, absent any cold front or radiative cooling anomalies. Trader consensus reflects the high reliability of ground-based thermometer networks and the absence of conflicting observational reports. Resolution could shift only if official agencies revise the daily minimum through quality control or adopt a different reference station, though such adjustments remain rare for this timeframe.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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