Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts and ensemble model consensus for Taipei point to a minimum near 26°C on August 24, driven by a persistent low-pressure system delivering cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling. In Taipei’s subtropical climate, typical August diurnal ranges hover around 6–8°C under partly cloudy conditions, but increased precipitation and reduced insolation can compress this spread, favoring outcomes clustered at 24–27°C. Distant tropical systems add steering and moisture uncertainty without direct landfall risk. Traders weigh these variables against historical baselines, with fresh model runs and CWA briefings expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Taipei on August 24?
22°C 48%
27°C 29%
26°C 28%
24°C 27%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
48%
23°C
27%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
28%
27°C
29%
28°C
25%
29°C
12%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
14%
22°C 48%
27°C 29%
26°C 28%
24°C 27%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
48%
23°C
27%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
28%
27°C
29%
28°C
25%
29°C
12%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts and ensemble model consensus for Taipei point to a minimum near 26°C on August 24, driven by a persistent low-pressure system delivering cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling. In Taipei’s subtropical climate, typical August diurnal ranges hover around 6–8°C under partly cloudy conditions, but increased precipitation and reduced insolation can compress this spread, favoring outcomes clustered at 24–27°C. Distant tropical systems add steering and moisture uncertainty without direct landfall risk. Traders weigh these variables against historical baselines, with fresh model runs and CWA briefings expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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