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icon for Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner
Dunia·Main Election

Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner

icon for Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner
Dunia·Main Election

Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner

Gintautas Kindurys 49%

Dalia Štraupaitė 38%

Vladislav Kondratovič 27%

Ignotas Adomavičius 20%

Polymarket
BARU

Gintautas Kindurys 49%

Dalia Štraupaitė 38%

Vladislav Kondratovič 27%

Ignotas Adomavičius 20%

Polymarket
BARU
icon for Gintautas Kindurys

Gintautas Kindurys

$64 Vol.

49%

icon for Dalia Štraupaitė

Dalia Štraupaitė

$64 Vol.

38%

icon for Vladislav Kondratovič

Vladislav Kondratovič

$205 Vol.

27%

icon for Ignotas Adomavičius

Ignotas Adomavičius

$64 Vol.

20%

icon for Viktor Voronin

Viktor Voronin

$64 Vol.

16%

icon for Nikolajus Lebedevičius

Nikolajus Lebedevičius

$64 Vol.

15%

icon for Maksimas Paukštė

Maksimas Paukštė

$64 Vol.

14%

icon for Mėta Palauskaitė

Mėta Palauskaitė

$64 Vol.

9%

icon for Antanas Šakalis

Antanas Šakalis

$64 Vol.

8%

icon for Andrej Šildiajėv

Andrej Šildiajėv

$64 Vol.

8%

icon for Giedrius Dainys

Giedrius Dainys

$54 Vol.

7%

An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency. If no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).The 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election, scheduled for 8 November with a possible runoff on 22 November, follows the sudden death of incumbent Jevgenij Šuklin of the Liberals' Movement, who had won the seat in 2024. Gintautas Kindurys of the Lithuanian Farmers and Greens Union holds the narrowest lead in trader pricing after topping the 2024 first-round vote share in the constituency, though he fell short in the second round against Šuklin. A crowded field of more than two dozen candidates, including Mėta Palauskaitė for the Liberals, Vladislav Kondratovič for the Social Democrats, and several smaller-party or independent entrants, keeps implied probabilities clustered near even odds for most contenders. Lithuanian single-member district rules, which require a majority for outright victory or advance the top two to a runoff, sustain the tight contest absent major late endorsements, turnout shifts among rural or regional voters, or clearer polling signals on second-round transfers.

An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026.

This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency.

If no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency. If no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).
Volume
$835
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 8, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 23, 2026, 10:07 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...
An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency. If no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).The 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election, scheduled for 8 November with a possible runoff on 22 November, follows the sudden death of incumbent Jevgenij Šuklin of the Liberals' Movement, who had won the seat in 2024. Gintautas Kindurys of the Lithuanian Farmers and Greens Union holds the narrowest lead in trader pricing after topping the 2024 first-round vote share in the constituency, though he fell short in the second round against Šuklin. A crowded field of more than two dozen candidates, including Mėta Palauskaitė for the Liberals, Vladislav Kondratovič for the Social Democrats, and several smaller-party or independent entrants, keeps implied probabilities clustered near even odds for most contenders. Lithuanian single-member district rules, which require a majority for outright victory or advance the top two to a runoff, sustain the tight contest absent major late endorsements, turnout shifts among rural or regional voters, or clearer polling signals on second-round transfers.

An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026.

This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency.

If no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency. If no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).
Volume
$835
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 8, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 23, 2026, 10:07 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...

Terkait

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 11 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Dalia Štraupaitė" di 71%, diikuti oleh "Gintautas Kindurys" di 64%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 71¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 71% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Sep 23, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner," jelajahi 11 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner" adalah "Dalia Štraupaitė" di 71%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 71% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Gintautas Kindurys" di 64%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.