Incumbent Republican Matt Van Epps, who captured Tennessee's 7th Congressional District in the December 2025 special election with 53.9% despite Democratic overperformance, drives trader consensus at 88% for Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. The district's Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections underscore structural advantages, bolstered by historical incumbency re-election rates exceeding 90%. Democrat Aftyn Behn, who garnered 45.1% in the special, declined a rematch in January 2026, leaving Joshua Sales as the sole Democratic primary entrant on August 6. No recent polling shifts odds, with independents like Jonathan Thorp posing minimal threat.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTN-07 House Election Winner
TN-07 House Election Winner
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
11%
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,244 Vol.
88%
Democratic Party
$1,058 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Matt Van Epps, who captured Tennessee's 7th Congressional District in the December 2025 special election with 53.9% despite Democratic overperformance, drives trader consensus at 88% for Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. The district's Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections underscore structural advantages, bolstered by historical incumbency re-election rates exceeding 90%. Democrat Aftyn Behn, who garnered 45.1% in the special, declined a rematch in January 2026, leaving Joshua Sales as the sole Democratic primary entrant on August 6. No recent polling shifts odds, with independents like Jonathan Thorp posing minimal threat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$3,302Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Matt Van Epps, who captured Tennessee's 7th Congressional District in the December 2025 special election with 53.9% despite Democratic overperformance, drives trader consensus at 88% for Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. The district's Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections underscore structural advantages, bolstered by historical incumbency re-election rates exceeding 90%. Democrat Aftyn Behn, who garnered 45.1% in the special, declined a rematch in January 2026, leaving Joshua Sales as the sole Democratic primary entrant on August 6. No recent polling shifts odds, with independents like Jonathan Thorp posing minimal threat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$3,302Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Matt Van Epps, who captured Tennessee's 7th Congressional District in the December 2025 special election with 53.9% despite Democratic overperformance, drives trader consensus at 88% for Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. The district's Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections underscore structural advantages, bolstered by historical incumbency re-election rates exceeding 90%. Democrat Aftyn Behn, who garnered 45.1% in the special, declined a rematch in January 2026, leaving Joshua Sales as the sole Democratic primary entrant on August 6. No recent polling shifts odds, with independents like Jonathan Thorp posing minimal threat.
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