Incumbent Republican Chuck Fleischmann holds a commanding position in Tennessee's 3rd congressional district due to its R+18 Partisan Voter Index, consistent double-digit Republican presidential margins in recent cycles, and his unopposed August 2026 primary victory. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Fleischmann's substantial fundraising lead—over $2.3 million compared to Democrat Anna Golladay's roughly $55,000—further reinforces trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Golladay secured her party's nomination with nearly 80% in the primary but faces structural headwinds in this eastern Tennessee district encompassing Chattanooga and surrounding counties. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major national Democratic wave, an unforeseen scandal, or sharply higher Democratic turnout, though historical patterns and the district's partisan composition make such shifts unlikely.
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TN-03 House Election Winner
$44,483 Vol.
$44,483 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Chuck Fleischmann (R)
95%
Anna Golladay (D)
5%
$44,483 Vol.
$44,483 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Chuck Fleischmann (R)
$20,812 Vol.
95%
Anna Golladay (D)
$23,671 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Chuck Fleischmann holds a commanding position in Tennessee's 3rd congressional district due to its R+18 Partisan Voter Index, consistent double-digit Republican presidential margins in recent cycles, and his unopposed August 2026 primary victory. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Fleischmann's substantial fundraising lead—over $2.3 million compared to Democrat Anna Golladay's roughly $55,000—further reinforces trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Golladay secured her party's nomination with nearly 80% in the primary but faces structural headwinds in this eastern Tennessee district encompassing Chattanooga and surrounding counties. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major national Democratic wave, an unforeseen scandal, or sharply higher Democratic turnout, though historical patterns and the district's partisan composition make such shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$44,483Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Chuck Fleischmann holds a commanding position in Tennessee's 3rd congressional district due to its R+18 Partisan Voter Index, consistent double-digit Republican presidential margins in recent cycles, and his unopposed August 2026 primary victory. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Fleischmann's substantial fundraising lead—over $2.3 million compared to Democrat Anna Golladay's roughly $55,000—further reinforces trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Golladay secured her party's nomination with nearly 80% in the primary but faces structural headwinds in this eastern Tennessee district encompassing Chattanooga and surrounding counties. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major national Democratic wave, an unforeseen scandal, or sharply higher Democratic turnout, though historical patterns and the district's partisan composition make such shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$44,483Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Chuck Fleischmann holds a commanding position in Tennessee's 3rd congressional district due to its R+18 Partisan Voter Index, consistent double-digit Republican presidential margins in recent cycles, and his unopposed August 2026 primary victory. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Fleischmann's substantial fundraising lead—over $2.3 million compared to Democrat Anna Golladay's roughly $55,000—further reinforces trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Golladay secured her party's nomination with nearly 80% in the primary but faces structural headwinds in this eastern Tennessee district encompassing Chattanooga and surrounding counties. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major national Democratic wave, an unforeseen scandal, or sharply higher Democratic turnout, though historical patterns and the district's partisan composition make such shifts unlikely.
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