Incumbent Republican Chuck Fleischmann holds a commanding lead in the TN-03 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by double-digit margins in recent presidential and House voting. Fleischmann secured an uncontested Republican primary in August 2026 and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Anna Golladay, who advanced from her primary but trails significantly in resources and name recognition. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as safe or solid Republican. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Fleischmann reflects these structural advantages ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could still alter the outcome, though none have emerged in the current cycle.
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TN-03 House Election Winner
$44,483 Vol.
$44,483 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Chuck Fleischmann (R)
95%
Anna Golladay (D)
4%
$44,483 Vol.
$44,483 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Chuck Fleischmann (R)
$20,812 Vol.
95%
Anna Golladay (D)
$23,671 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Chuck Fleischmann holds a commanding lead in the TN-03 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by double-digit margins in recent presidential and House voting. Fleischmann secured an uncontested Republican primary in August 2026 and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Anna Golladay, who advanced from her primary but trails significantly in resources and name recognition. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as safe or solid Republican. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Fleischmann reflects these structural advantages ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could still alter the outcome, though none have emerged in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$44,483Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Chuck Fleischmann holds a commanding lead in the TN-03 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by double-digit margins in recent presidential and House voting. Fleischmann secured an uncontested Republican primary in August 2026 and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Anna Golladay, who advanced from her primary but trails significantly in resources and name recognition. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as safe or solid Republican. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Fleischmann reflects these structural advantages ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could still alter the outcome, though none have emerged in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$44,483Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Chuck Fleischmann holds a commanding lead in the TN-03 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by double-digit margins in recent presidential and House voting. Fleischmann secured an uncontested Republican primary in August 2026 and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Anna Golladay, who advanced from her primary but trails significantly in resources and name recognition. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as safe or solid Republican. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Fleischmann reflects these structural advantages ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could still alter the outcome, though none have emerged in the current cycle.
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