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Where will it rain on August 10?

icon for Where will it rain on August 10?

Where will it rain on August 10?

BARU
Aug 11, 2026
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Polymarket

Singapore

$0 Vol.

50%

Jakarta

$0 Vol.

50%

Mumbai

$0 Vol.

50%

Manila

$0 Vol.

50%

Tokyo

$0 Vol.

50%

Lagos

$0 Vol.

50%

Bangkok

$0 Vol.

50%

Hong Kong

$0 Vol.

49%

Seoul (Incheon)

$0 Vol.

49%

Taipei

$0 Vol.

50%

Colombo

$0 Vol.

50%

Dhaka

$0 Vol.

50%

Kuala Lumpur

$0 Vol.

51%

London

$0 Vol.

50%

Dubai

$0 Vol.

51%

São Paulo

$0 Vol.

51%

Sydney

$0 Vol.

50%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 10. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".Recent NOAA Climate Prediction Center outlooks and National Weather Service guidance highlight active monsoon moisture across the Southwest and Rockies combined with frontal systems and higher precipitable water values favoring scattered to widespread rainfall across the eastern U.S. and Upper Midwest through the August 10 period, while the western interior and Plains remain largely dry. Short-range models show good agreement on these broad patterns but retain typical uncertainty in exact timing and localized convective cells that determine measurable precipitation thresholds. Updated 6-10 day and 8-14 day precipitation probability maps, along with daily NWS forecast discussions, will provide the key data releases traders monitor as the resolution window approaches.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 10. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.

A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.

Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$0
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 11, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 7, 2026, 10:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 10. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 10. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".Recent NOAA Climate Prediction Center outlooks and National Weather Service guidance highlight active monsoon moisture across the Southwest and Rockies combined with frontal systems and higher precipitable water values favoring scattered to widespread rainfall across the eastern U.S. and Upper Midwest through the August 10 period, while the western interior and Plains remain largely dry. Short-range models show good agreement on these broad patterns but retain typical uncertainty in exact timing and localized convective cells that determine measurable precipitation thresholds. Updated 6-10 day and 8-14 day precipitation probability maps, along with daily NWS forecast discussions, will provide the key data releases traders monitor as the resolution window approaches.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 10. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.

A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.

Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$0
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 11, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 7, 2026, 10:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 10. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Where will it rain on August 10?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 17 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Kuala Lumpur" di 51%, diikuti oleh "Dubai" di 51%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 51¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 51% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Where will it rain on August 10?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 7, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Where will it rain on August 10?," jelajahi 17 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Where will it rain on August 10?" adalah "Kuala Lumpur" di 51%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 51% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Dubai" di 51%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Where will it rain on August 10?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.