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Politik·Primer

Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?

icon for Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?
Politik·Primer

Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?

$230,366 Vol.

Aug 18, 2026
Polymarket

$230,366 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Tom Begich

Tom Begich

$12,826 Vol.

97%

icon for Bernadette Wilson

Bernadette Wilson

$15,811 Vol.

76%

icon for Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

$4,150 Vol.

69%

icon for Dave Bronson

Dave Bronson

$2,709 Vol.

47%

icon for Click Bishop

Click Bishop

$41,489 Vol.

40%

icon for Bill Walker

Bill Walker

$432 Vol.

25%

icon for Treg Taylor

Treg Taylor

$64,791 Vol.

18%

icon for Shelley Hughes

Shelley Hughes

$3,221 Vol.

4%

icon for Adam Crum

Adam Crum

$6,939 Vol.

4%

icon for Matt Heilala

Matt Heilala

$3,826 Vol.

4%

icon for Lesil McGuire

Lesil McGuire

$240 Vol.

2%

icon for Jessica Faircloth

Jessica Faircloth

$156 Vol.

2%

icon for Hank Kroll

Hank Kroll

$1,905 Vol.

2%

icon for Nancy Dahlstrom

Nancy Dahlstrom

$13,641 Vol.

1%

icon for Edna DeVries

Edna DeVries

$13,365 Vol.

1%

icon for Matt Claman

Matt Claman

$38,475 Vol.

1%

icon for Gregg Brelsford

Gregg Brelsford

$171 Vol.

1%

icon for Destry J. Payne Sr.

Destry J. Payne Sr.

$1,231 Vol.

1%

icon for Bruce Walden

Bruce Walden

$2,378 Vol.

1%

icon for James Parkin

James Parkin

$2,609 Vol.

<1%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Alaska's August 18, 2026, nonpartisan top-four primary will select the finalists to succeed term-limited Governor Mike Dunleavy in a crowded field exceeding 18 candidates. Recent polling shows Democrat Tom Begich holding a lead, positioning him as the clearest frontrunner to advance, while Republican contenders including Dave Bronson, Nancy Dahlstrom, and Treg Taylor face tighter competition for the remaining slots. Market pricing reflects these trends amid the state's unique ranked-choice-style primary rules, where support consolidation and turnout in the final weeks could shift advancement probabilities. No major late-breaking events have altered the race since early summer polls, leaving candidate visibility, endorsements, and voter outreach as the primary drivers heading into election day.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Volume
$230,366
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Alaska's August 18, 2026, nonpartisan top-four primary will select the finalists to succeed term-limited Governor Mike Dunleavy in a crowded field exceeding 18 candidates. Recent polling shows Democrat Tom Begich holding a lead, positioning him as the clearest frontrunner to advance, while Republican contenders including Dave Bronson, Nancy Dahlstrom, and Treg Taylor face tighter competition for the remaining slots. Market pricing reflects these trends amid the state's unique ranked-choice-style primary rules, where support consolidation and turnout in the final weeks could shift advancement probabilities. No major late-breaking events have altered the race since early summer polls, leaving candidate visibility, endorsements, and voter outreach as the primary drivers heading into election day.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Volume
$230,366
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.

Terkait

icon for Will Nick Begich III advance from the AK-AL primary election?

Will Nick Begich III advance from the AK-AL primary election?

99%
icon for Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

32%
icon for Will Mary Peltola win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?

Will Mary Peltola win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?

85%

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 20 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Tom Begich" di 97%, diikuti oleh "Bernadette Wilson" di 76%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 97¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 97% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?" telah menghasilkan $230.4K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Dec 10, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?," jelajahi 20 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?" adalah "Tom Begich" di 97%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 97% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Bernadette Wilson" di 76%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.